NewsMarkets

Sports

Big 12 admits error in Notre Dame-BYU ending, says Irish had 1 second left Hot: Odds moved 18 points in 24 hours

The conference acknowledges an officiating mistake that prematurely ended the game, ruling that Notre Dame should have been allowed one final play.

3 publishers · 3 articles · first seen 18 Oct 2026 · updated 57m ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by CBS Sports Headlines, 4h 44m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

The odds

How the odds moved · BYU
0%50%100%54%11 Oct, 17:39 UTCnowwww.espn.com: Big 12 admits error in Notre Dame-BYU ending, says Irish had 1 second left · 18 Oct, 11:42 UTCSI Feed: Big 12 Admits Key Replay Mistake on Final Play of BYU Upset Over Notre Dame · 18 Oct, 12:00 UTCCBS Sports Headlines: Big 12 rules Notre Dame should have been allowed another play after officiating error in loss to BYU · 18 Oct, 06:57 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now54%
18 Oct, 04:11 UTC54%
16 Oct, 10:42 UTC45%
16 Oct, 09:47 UTC43%
16 Oct, 04:01 UTC51%
16 Oct, 03:09 UTC43%
16 Oct, 00:02 UTC52%
11 Oct, 17:39 UTC50%

The story so far

3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 18 Oct 2026. CBS Sports Headlines published first, on 18 October at 06:57 UTC; www.espn.com followed 4h 45m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 18 October at 12:00 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), CBS Sports Headlines, SI Feed.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • BYU — the market puts it at 54%, with $202 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 10 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if BYU qualifies for the 2026 College Football Big 12 Championship Game. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake this outcome as depending on the team's overall playoff ranking rather than their specific qualification for the conference championship game.
  • BYU — the market puts it at 89%, with $379 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Feb 2027. BYU must finish in the top three of the Big 12 standings at the end of the 2026 college football regular season for the Yes outcome. The No outcome occurs if BYU finishes fourth or lower. Readers often mistake this for a single-game result rather than the final conference standing.
  • BYU — the market puts it at 23%, with $6k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 2 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if BYU wins the 2026 College Football Big 12 Championship Game. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific title game. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about any single regular-season game, such as the Notre Dame matchup mentioned in the linked story.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on BYU at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. CBS Sports HeadlinesBig 12 rules Notre Dame should have been allowed another play after officiating error in loss to BYU54%
  2. www.espn.comBig 12 admits error in Notre Dame-BYU ending, says Irish had 1 second left54%
  3. SI FeedBig 12 Admits Key Replay Mistake on Final Play of BYU Upset Over Notre Dame54%
  4. Current odds54%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Big 12 admits error in Notre Dame-BYU ending, says Irish had 1 second left www.espn.com ·
  2. Big 12 Admits Key Replay Mistake on Final Play of BYU Upset Over Notre Dame SI Feed
  3. Big 12 rules Notre Dame should have been allowed another play after officiating error in loss to BYU CBS Sports Headlines

Markets on this story

  • Kalshi BYU 54% +9 $202 24hends 10 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi BYU 89% +18 $379 24hends 7 Feb 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi BYU 23% +4 $6k 24hends 2 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

Have your say

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

In this story

Embed this story

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.