Barnwell Analyzes Commanders' OT Errors and Texans' Trade for Marvin Harrison Jr.
ESPN's Barnwell examines the logic behind Washington's confusing final-minute decisions in overtime and Houston's aggressive acquisition of wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 98% |
| 12 Oct, 16:32 UTC | 98% |
| 12 Oct, 02:22 UTC | 99% |
| 10 Oct, 22:07 UTC | 95% |
| 10 Oct, 18:39 UTC | 96% |
| 10 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 94% |
| 10 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 95% |
| 10 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 97% |
| 10 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 98% |
| 10 Oct, 00:12 UTC | 52% |
| 9 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 90% |
| 8 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 33% |
| 8 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 56% |
| 7 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 58% |
| 7 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 65% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 60% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 12 Oct 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 12 October at 12:47 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Marvin Harrison Jr. — resolved “Yes” on 12 Oct 2026. The outcome is Yes if Marvin Harrison Jr. is traded before December 1, 2026. The outcome is No if he remains with his current team through that date. Readers often mistake the deadline for the start of the trade window rather than the final cutoff.
- Will Marvin Harrison Jr.'s next team be the Houston Texans? — resolved “Yes” on 13 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Marvin Harrison Jr. officially joins the Houston Texans by November 10, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to No if he joins any other team or does not join a new team by that deadline. Readers often mistake an announced trade for an official joining, but the resolution depends on the actual official announcement or credible media consensus confirming the move.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Resolved Marvin Harrison Jr. Yes 3h ago
The market favoured Yes at 95% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will Marvin Harrison Jr.'s next team be the Houston Texans? Yes 43m ago
The market favoured Yes at 100% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Commanders
- Texans
- Marvin Harrison Jr.