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Baker Mayfield Could Return Sooner Than Expected From Thumb Injury

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback has taken a step in his recovery from a dislocated right thumb that could allow him to return earlier than the team's timetable.

2 publishers · 2 articles · first seen 3 Oct 2026 · updated 2h ago

The odds

How the odds moved · Tampa Bay
0%50%100%93%26 Sept, 23:23 UTCnowSI Feed: Is Baker Mayfield Trying to Come Back Earlier Than the Buccaneers' Timetable? · 3 Oct, 16:34 UTCfeeds.bleacherreport.com: Baker Mayfield Injury Update, Latest NFL Rumors on Bucs QB's Recovery, Return Timeline · 3 Oct, 15:38 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now93%
1 Oct, 22:57 UTC93%
1 Oct, 15:27 UTC93%
30 Sept, 18:46 UTC87%
30 Sept, 15:39 UTC94%
28 Sept, 04:36 UTC95%
27 Sept, 23:37 UTC88%
26 Sept, 23:23 UTC94%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 3 Oct 2026. feeds.bleacherreport.com published first, on 3 October at 15:38 UTC; SI Feed followed 56 min later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 3 October at 16:34 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: feeds.bleacherreport.com, SI Feed.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Tampa Bay — the market puts it at 93%, closing 1 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Baker Mayfield joins the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as his next team before December 1, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked injury story for the deadline, but the actual cutoff is December 1, 2026.
  • Baker Mayfield — the market puts it at 1%, closing 18 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Baker Mayfield ranks first in scoring among all quarterbacks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. The outcome is No if he does not finish in that top position. Readers often mistake the resolution deadline, which occurs after the regular season ends, rather than at any point during the games.
  • Baker Mayfield — the market puts it at 2%, closing 8 Feb 2027. The outcome is Yes if Baker Mayfield finishes the 2026-2027 regular season with more passing touchdowns than any other player in the NFL. The outcome is No if he does not lead the league in this category. Readers often mistake a single game's performance or injury status for the final seasonal ranking.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Is Baker Mayfield Trying to Come Back Earlier Than the Buccaneers' Timetable? SI Feed
  2. Baker Mayfield Injury Update, Latest NFL Rumors on Bucs QB's Recovery, Return Timeline feeds.bleacherreport.com

Markets on this story

  • Kalshi Tampa Bay 93% $0 24hends 1 Dec 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Baker Mayfield 1% $0 24hends 18 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Baker Mayfield 2% $0 24hends 8 Feb 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Baker Mayfield
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers
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