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Tampa Bay

Implied probability 88%−6
24-hour volume$1
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves1 Dec 2026

Why it moved: −6 points at 23:37 UTC, after SI Feed: Buccaneers’ Baker Mayfield Suffers Significant Injury Against Vikings — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Tampa Bay
0%50%100%88%26 Sept, 23:23 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now88%
27 Sept, 23:37 UTC88%
26 Sept, 23:23 UTC94%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Baker Mayfield joins the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as his next team before December 1, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked injury story for the deadline, but the actual cutoff is December 1, 2026.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 88%
  • No 12%

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