Avengers: Endgame Overtakes Avatar as Highest-Grossing Film After Re-Release
The Marvel Studios film surpasses James Cameron's Avatar with $2.925 billion worldwide following a theatrical re-release.
First reported by Variety, 24 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 15:25 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 14:52 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Oct, 12:19 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Oct, 11:49 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Oct, 11:23 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Oct, 10:57 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Oct, 10:26 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Oct, 09:21 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Oct, 08:43 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Oct, 07:57 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Oct, 07:19 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Oct, 04:51 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 5% |
| 3 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 23:03 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 19:49 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 18:16 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 16:46 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 16:13 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 14:05 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 5% |
| 3 Oct, 13:03 UTC | 5% |
| 3 Oct, 12:56 UTC | 5% |
| 3 Oct, 10:10 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 04:12 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 20:11 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 19:36 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 19:16 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 17:59 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 16:57 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 15:02 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 14:35 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 11:48 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 11:29 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 10:32 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 09:53 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 08:02 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 07:15 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 04:28 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 03:55 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 22:13 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 19:12 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 15:50 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 11:11 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 10:35 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 04:44 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 02:21 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 01:34 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 01:27 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 22:03 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 21:55 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 20:46 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 20:16 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 19:32 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 19:01 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 16:36 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 15:08 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 14:50 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 13:48 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 21:17 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Sept, 17:16 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 15:16 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 10:45 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 09:12 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 06:24 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 01:28 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 19:13 UTC | 4% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 4 Oct 2026. Variety published first, on 4 October at 14:46 UTC; Deadline followed 24 min later. The most recent article, from The Hollywood Reporter, appeared on 4 October at 15:34 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Variety (major outlet), The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), Deadline.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? — the market puts it at 4%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Avengers: Doomsday has the highest domestic calendar gross in 2026 according to Box Office Mojo. The No outcome applies if any other film earns more during that same period. Readers often mistake the total worldwide gross or earnings from outside 2026 as relevant, but only the domestic calendar year 2026 data counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Variety‘Avengers: Endgame’ Overtakes ‘Avatar’ as Highest-Grossing Movie in History With $2.925 Billion After ‘Encore’ Re-Release5%
- Deadline‘Avengers: Endgame’ Overtakes ‘Avatar’ Again As Highest Grossing Movie Ever At Global Box Office4%▼1 points since the previous source
- The Hollywood Reporter‘Avengers: Endgame’ Returns to No. 1 on All-Time Global Box Office Chart, Surpassing ‘Avatar’4%
- Current odds4%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- ‘Avengers: Endgame’ Returns to No. 1 on All-Time Global Box Office Chart, Surpassing ‘Avatar’ The Hollywood Reporter ·
- ‘Avengers: Endgame’ Overtakes ‘Avatar’ as Highest-Grossing Movie in History With $2.925 Billion After ‘Encore’ Re-Release Variety ·
- ‘Avengers: Endgame’ Overtakes ‘Avatar’ Again As Highest Grossing Movie Ever At Global Box Office Deadline
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? 4% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Avengers: Endgame
- Avatar
- Disney
- Marvel Studios