Australian Guard Luke Paul Commits to Duke Basketball
The Duke men's basketball team has secured the commitment of Australian point guard Luke Paul, a projected lottery pick in the 2027 draft class.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 13% |
| 1 Oct, 20:29 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Oct, 18:28 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 17:38 UTC | 11% |
| 30 Sept, 22:37 UTC | 12% |
| 30 Sept, 18:46 UTC | 11% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 06:12 UTC | 12% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 13% |
| 28 Sept, 12:49 UTC | 11% |
| 28 Sept, 08:00 UTC | 12% |
| 27 Sept, 04:11 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Sept, 00:34 UTC | 11% |
| 26 Sept, 21:41 UTC | 12% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 11% |
| 25 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 12% |
| 25 Sept, 12:04 UTC | 13% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 1 Oct 2026. feeds.bleacherreport.com published first, on 1 October at 20:05 UTC; SI Feed followed 41 min later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 1 October at 20:46 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: feeds.bleacherreport.com, SI Feed.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Duke — the market puts it at 13%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 27 Apr 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Duke wins the 2026-27 NCAA Division I men's basketball national championship. It resolves to No if Duke does not win that specific title. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about Duke’s regular-season performance or its ranking in recruiting classes.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Duke 13% +1
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In this story
- Luke Paul
- Duke