Arsenal beat Leeds to end unbeaten run with comeback win
Bruno Guimarães scores as Arsenal come from behind to defeat Leeds United 2-1 and end their unbeaten start.
First reported by SkySports, 2 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 61% |
| 10 Oct, 14:34 UTC | 61% |
| 10 Oct, 14:20 UTC | 63% |
| 10 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 65% |
| 10 Oct, 13:01 UTC | 60% |
| 10 Oct, 12:54 UTC | 62% |
| 10 Oct, 12:21 UTC | 64% |
| 10 Oct, 10:31 UTC | 65% |
| 10 Oct, 08:37 UTC | 63% |
| 10 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 62% |
| 9 Oct, 22:52 UTC | 63% |
| 9 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 64% |
| 9 Oct, 15:07 UTC | 63% |
| 9 Oct, 14:45 UTC | 62% |
| 9 Oct, 04:33 UTC | 63% |
| 8 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 61% |
| 8 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 62% |
| 8 Oct, 16:53 UTC | 63% |
| 8 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 63% |
| 7 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 62% |
| 7 Oct, 22:32 UTC | 61% |
| 7 Oct, 22:12 UTC | 63% |
| 7 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 62% |
| 7 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 61% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 62% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 61% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 63% |
| 6 Oct, 06:33 UTC | 62% |
| 6 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 61% |
| 6 Oct, 01:16 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 61% |
| 5 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 62% |
| 5 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 61% |
| 5 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 61% |
| 5 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Oct, 21:05 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Oct, 16:55 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 15:05 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 61% |
| 3 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 19:42 UTC | 63% |
| 3 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 18:09 UTC | 61% |
| 3 Oct, 16:00 UTC | 62% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Arsenal respond.
The story so far
4 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 10 Oct 2026. SkySports published first, on 10 October at 13:39 UTC; The Guardian Sport followed 2 min later. The most recent article, from www.espn.com, appeared on 10 October at 15:40 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), www.espn.com (major outlet), SkySports.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Arsenal — the market puts it at 61%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 13 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the 2026-27 English Premier League title. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific championship. Readers often mistake the linked story about Mikel Arteta’s contract for a resolution condition, but only the league title matters.
- Arsenal — the market puts it at 12%, with $323 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 19 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the 2026-27 Champions League. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of any other competition or season.
- Arsenal — the market puts it at 27%, closing 4 Apr 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the 2026-27 EFL Carabao Cup. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake this for the Premier League title or confuse the current season with the 2026-27 cycle.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Arsenal at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SkySportsArsenal come from behind to beat stubborn Leeds60%
- The Guardian SportBruno Guimarães completes Arsenal comeback to end Leeds’ unbeaten run60%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraArsenal beat Leeds 2-1 in comeback win to move level with Man City at top61%▲1 points since the previous source
- www.espn.comArsenal fight back to win as Premier League resumes under cloud of Man City's guilty verdict61%
- Current odds61%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Arsenal fight back to win as Premier League resumes under cloud of Man City's guilty verdict www.espn.com ·
- Arsenal beat Leeds 2-1 in comeback win to move level with Man City at top Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Bruno Guimarães completes Arsenal comeback to end Leeds’ unbeaten run The Guardian Sport ·
- Arsenal come from behind to beat stubborn Leeds SkySports
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Arsenal 61% −2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Arsenal 12% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Arsenal 27%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
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