Aritzia Stock Surges on Earnings Beat and Improved Outlook Hot: Odds moved 54 points in 24 hours
The retailer's shares jump as US growth and online sales drive a quarterly beat and boosted full-year guidance.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 9 Oct, 17:11 UTC | 86% |
| 7 Oct, 19:42 UTC | 62% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 9 Oct 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 9 October at 16:41 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Above 30% — resolved “Yes” on 9 Oct 2026.
- Above 24% — the market puts it at 89%, with $1 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 30 Jul 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Aritzia Inc. reports comparable sales growth above 24% for fiscal 2027. It resolves to No if that specific metric does not exceed 24%. Readers often mistake the linked news headline about current stock performance for the final resolution data.
- Payback — resolved “Yes” on 9 Oct 2026.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Resolved Above 30% Yes 2h ago
The market favoured Yes at 77% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Above 24% 89% +54
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Payback Yes 2h ago
The market favoured No at 58% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
Have your say
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In this story
- Aritzia Inc.