Payback
The market favoured No at 58% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$35k
Total volume$39k
Liquidity$39k
Resolved31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 8 Oct, 21:13 UTC | 99% |
| 7 Oct, 21:01 UTC | 47% |
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%