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Above 24%

Implied probability 89%+54
24-hour volume$1
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves30 Jul 2027

Why it moved: +54 points at 17:03 UTC, after Bloomberg Markets: Aritzia Surges Most in 18 Months on Earnings, Better Outlook — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Above 24%
0%50%100%89%8 Oct, 16:46 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now89%
9 Oct, 17:03 UTC89%
8 Oct, 16:46 UTC35%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Aritzia Inc. reports comparable sales growth above 24% for fiscal 2027. It resolves to No if that specific metric does not exceed 24%. Readers often mistake the linked news headline about current stock performance for the final resolution data.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 89%
  • No 11%

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