Apple iPhone Duo Preorders Open October 16
Customers can prepare for the upcoming launch by selecting color, storage, and carrier options on Apple's product page ahead of the Friday release.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 15 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 99% |
| 15 Oct, 08:02 UTC | 99% |
| 15 Oct, 07:00 UTC | 99% |
| 15 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 99% |
| 15 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 99% |
| 14 Oct, 12:33 UTC | 99% |
| 14 Oct, 10:43 UTC | 99% |
| 13 Oct, 13:18 UTC | 99% |
| 12 Oct, 19:34 UTC | 99% |
| 12 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 100% |
| 9 Oct, 14:31 UTC | 100% |
| 8 Oct, 19:32 UTC | 100% |
| 8 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 99% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 14 Oct 2026. Engadget published first, on 14 October at 11:00 UTC; The Verge followed 27h 08m later. The most recent article, from The Verge, appeared on 15 October at 14:07 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Verge (major outlet), Engadget.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? — the market puts it at 99%, with $401 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Oct 2026. For the outcome to be Yes, Apple must make a foldable smartphone available for public purchase by October 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. An announcement or unveiling alone does not count; the device must be purchasable by the general public within that timeframe. Readers often mistakenly believe that an official announcement is sufficient, but the product must actually be available for purchase.
- Before February 2027 — the market puts it at 3%, with $21 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Apple Inc. makes the iPhone 18 available to the general public before February 1, 2027. It resolves to No if this release does not occur within that timeframe. Readers often mistake preorder availability for a full public release.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? 99%
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- Kalshi Before February 2027 3%
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In this story
- Apple
- iPhone Duo