NewsMarkets

Markets

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?

Implied probability 100%
24-hour volume$20
Total volume$128k
Liquidity$26k
Resolves31 Oct 2026
How the odds moved · Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?
0%50%100%100%14 Oct, 12:33 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now100%
20 Oct, 05:47 UTC100%
18 Oct, 22:49 UTC100%
18 Oct, 12:34 UTC99%
18 Oct, 01:49 UTC99%
17 Oct, 17:14 UTC99%
17 Oct, 09:19 UTC100%
17 Oct, 06:27 UTC99%
16 Oct, 13:10 UTC100%
16 Oct, 12:49 UTC100%
15 Oct, 23:15 UTC100%
15 Oct, 22:49 UTC100%
15 Oct, 19:42 UTC100%
15 Oct, 18:13 UTC100%
15 Oct, 09:23 UTC99%
15 Oct, 08:02 UTC99%
15 Oct, 07:00 UTC99%
15 Oct, 01:48 UTC99%
15 Oct, 01:18 UTC99%
14 Oct, 12:33 UTC99%

Does the market have this right?

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

What counts

For the outcome to be Yes, Apple must make a foldable smartphone available for public purchase by October 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. An announcement or unveiling alone does not count; the device must be purchasable by the general public within that timeframe. Readers often mistakenly believe that an official announcement is sufficient, but the product must actually be available for purchase.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 100%
  • No 0%

Trade this market on Polymarket →

Embed this market

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.

Stories on this market