Antonelli Could Win F1 Title at Next Race
Mercedes driver Kimi Antonelli could become Formula 1's youngest champion at the United States Grand Prix after securing a podium in Singapore.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 98% |
| 12 Oct, 20:03 UTC | 98% |
| 12 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 98% |
| 12 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 98% |
| 12 Oct, 17:05 UTC | 98% |
| 12 Oct, 16:58 UTC | 98% |
| 12 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 98% |
| 12 Oct, 13:22 UTC | 98% |
| 12 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 98% |
| 12 Oct, 07:16 UTC | 98% |
| 12 Oct, 06:57 UTC | 98% |
| 12 Oct, 05:31 UTC | 99% |
| 12 Oct, 03:18 UTC | 98% |
| 12 Oct, 01:13 UTC | 98% |
| 11 Oct, 20:02 UTC | 98% |
| 11 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 98% |
| 11 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 99% |
| 11 Oct, 18:07 UTC | 98% |
| 11 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 98% |
| 11 Oct, 15:49 UTC | 98% |
| 11 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 98% |
| 11 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 98% |
| 11 Oct, 12:55 UTC | 97% |
| 11 Oct, 12:22 UTC | 98% |
| 11 Oct, 11:04 UTC | 98% |
| 11 Oct, 10:56 UTC | 98% |
| 11 Oct, 10:27 UTC | 98% |
| 11 Oct, 09:52 UTC | 99% |
| 11 Oct, 09:27 UTC | 98% |
| 11 Oct, 08:43 UTC | 97% |
| 11 Oct, 07:33 UTC | 98% |
| 11 Oct, 07:02 UTC | 98% |
| 11 Oct, 06:37 UTC | 98% |
| 11 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 98% |
| 11 Oct, 04:28 UTC | 98% |
| 11 Oct, 03:26 UTC | 97% |
| 11 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 96% |
| 11 Oct, 01:46 UTC | 96% |
| 11 Oct, 00:51 UTC | 95% |
| 10 Oct, 22:32 UTC | 95% |
| 10 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 96% |
| 10 Oct, 21:47 UTC | 95% |
| 10 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 96% |
| 10 Oct, 20:03 UTC | 96% |
| 10 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 96% |
| 10 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 97% |
| 10 Oct, 14:48 UTC | 96% |
| 10 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 96% |
| 10 Oct, 13:28 UTC | 97% |
| 10 Oct, 12:54 UTC | 97% |
| 10 Oct, 11:11 UTC | 97% |
| 10 Oct, 10:31 UTC | 97% |
| 10 Oct, 10:24 UTC | 96% |
| 10 Oct, 06:26 UTC | 96% |
| 10 Oct, 03:53 UTC | 96% |
| 10 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 96% |
| 10 Oct, 01:13 UTC | 96% |
| 9 Oct, 23:59 UTC | 96% |
| 9 Oct, 21:16 UTC | 96% |
| 9 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 96% |
| 9 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 96% |
| 9 Oct, 19:51 UTC | 96% |
| 9 Oct, 19:10 UTC | 96% |
| 9 Oct, 18:42 UTC | 96% |
| 9 Oct, 17:18 UTC | 96% |
| 9 Oct, 13:44 UTC | 97% |
| 9 Oct, 13:20 UTC | 97% |
| 9 Oct, 12:16 UTC | 97% |
| 8 Oct, 21:48 UTC | 97% |
| 8 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 97% |
| 8 Oct, 20:47 UTC | 96% |
| 8 Oct, 18:46 UTC | 96% |
| 8 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 96% |
| 8 Oct, 17:42 UTC | 96% |
| 8 Oct, 17:16 UTC | 96% |
| 8 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 96% |
| 8 Oct, 15:04 UTC | 97% |
| 7 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 97% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 97% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 97% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 97% |
| 6 Oct, 06:07 UTC | 97% |
| 6 Oct, 05:34 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Oct, 04:55 UTC | 96% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 11 Oct 2026. SkySports published first, on 11 October at 18:32 UTC; South China Morning Post followed 17h 28m later. The most recent article, from South China Morning Post, appeared on 12 October at 12:00 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: SkySports, South China Morning Post.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? — the market puts it at 98%, with $15k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 6 Dec 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if Kimi Antonelli finishes first in the 2026 F1 Drivers' standings, as determined by official Formula 1 results after the final scheduled race of that season. The No outcome applies if he does not finish first or if he becomes mathematically eliminated from contention before the season ends.
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli — the market puts it at 98%, with $4k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 22 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Andrea Kimi Antonelli wins the Formula 1 Drivers Championship. It resolves to No if he does not win the championship. Readers often mistake a single race victory for winning the overall season title.
- Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? — resolved “Yes” on 12 Oct 2026.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? 98%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Andrea Kimi Antonelli 98%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? Yes 12h ago
The market favoured No at 53% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Kimi Antonelli
- Mercedes
- Red Bull
- Max Verstappen
- Straits Times