Alcaraz reaches Paris Masters semifinals after Berrettini withdraws Hot: Odds moved 13 points in 24 hours
Carlos Alcaraz advances to the Paris Masters semifinals for the first time after Matteo Berrettini withdrew from their third-round match.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 64% |
| 7 Nov, 02:46 UTC | 64% |
| 7 Nov, 02:24 UTC | 65% |
| 7 Nov, 01:55 UTC | 66% |
| 7 Nov, 00:01 UTC | 67% |
| 6 Nov, 23:40 UTC | 66% |
| 6 Nov, 23:19 UTC | 66% |
| 6 Nov, 22:49 UTC | 69% |
| 6 Nov, 10:27 UTC | 51% |
| 6 Nov, 07:17 UTC | 51% |
| 6 Nov, 05:10 UTC | 52% |
| 6 Nov, 02:36 UTC | 52% |
| 6 Nov, 02:07 UTC | 53% |
| 6 Nov, 00:41 UTC | 54% |
| 5 Nov, 22:47 UTC | 54% |
| 5 Nov, 20:56 UTC | 55% |
| 5 Nov, 17:28 UTC | 56% |
| 5 Nov, 15:49 UTC | 56% |
| 5 Nov, 14:32 UTC | 56% |
| 5 Nov, 14:16 UTC | 57% |
| 5 Nov, 13:38 UTC | 56% |
| 5 Nov, 13:23 UTC | 56% |
| 5 Nov, 12:59 UTC | 51% |
| 5 Nov, 12:22 UTC | 50% |
| 5 Nov, 11:26 UTC | 50% |
| 4 Nov, 21:02 UTC | 47% |
| 4 Nov, 20:52 UTC | 47% |
| 4 Nov, 20:14 UTC | 45% |
| 4 Nov, 19:57 UTC | 45% |
| 4 Nov, 18:35 UTC | 45% |
| 4 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 41% |
| 3 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 31% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 5 Nov 2026. SkySports published first, on 5 November at 12:12 UTC; Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera followed 42h 09m later. The most recent article, from Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera, appeared on 7 November at 06:21 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), SkySports.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Paris, France? — the market puts it at 64%, with $8k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 9 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Carlos Alcaraz wins the 2026 Paris Men’s Singles Tournament and No if he does not. The market resolves based on the official ATP results or credible reporting consensus. Readers often mistake the linked story about a different tournament for this event's result.
- Set 1 Winner: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz — resolved “Taylor Fritz” on 7 Nov 2026.
- Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz — the market puts it at 19%, with $19k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 14 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Casper Ruud if he wins the match, and to Carlos Alcaraz if he wins. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or lacks a winner by November 21, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, it resolves to a 50-50 split. Readers often mistake a walkover for a decisive result, but this scenario also triggers a 50-50 resolution.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Paris, France? 64% +13
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Set 1 Winner: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz Taylor Fritz 24m ago
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz 19%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Carlos Alcaraz
- Matteo Berrettini