Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
Implied probability 19%
24-hour volume$19k
Total volume$18k
Liquidity$21k
Resolves14 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 19% |
| 7 Nov, 07:07 UTC | 18% |
| 7 Nov, 06:53 UTC | 18% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Casper Ruud if he wins the match, and to Carlos Alcaraz if he wins. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or lacks a winner by November 21, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, it resolves to a 50-50 split. Readers often mistake a walkover for a decisive result, but this scenario also triggers a 50-50 resolution.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Casper Ruud 19%
- Carlos Alcaraz 82%
Trade this market on Polymarket →