Alberta to Vote on Referendum Regarding Potential Separation from Canada
The Canadian province will hold a vote next month on a possible referendum that could lead to separation, amid discussions about its status.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 20:04 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 19:49 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 19:17 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 18:58 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 18:15 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 17:36 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 16:09 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 15:55 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 14:57 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 14:05 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 13:57 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 13:23 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 12:20 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 11:38 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 11:27 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 10:52 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 10:26 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 08:40 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 08:14 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 07:57 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 06:45 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 06:27 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 05:54 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 05:05 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 04:59 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 04:26 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 03:54 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 03:15 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 02:55 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 02:27 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 01:53 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 16:56 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 15:49 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 08:08 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 01:48 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 01:19 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 00:24 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Sept, 00:24 UTC | 7% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 20 Sept 2026. Times of India published first, on 20 September at 12:13 UTC; CBS News followed 11h 45m later. The most recent article, from CBS News, appeared on 20 September at 23:58 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: CBS News (major outlet), Times of India.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? — the market puts it at 7%, with $344 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. For the outcome to be Yes, a referendum on Alberta's independence must pass by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM. The referendum can establish independence or set a framework for it. Readers often mistake the deadline as January 1, 2027, instead of December 31, 2026.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
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- Polymarket Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? 7%
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In this story
- Alberta
- Canada
- Donald Trump