ADIA, Coller Join ByteDance-Backed Primavera Continuation Fund
Abu Dhabi Investment Authority and Coller Capital are negotiating to invest in a continuation vehicle anchored by a stake in ByteDance.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 91% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 91% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 90% |
| 6 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 91% |
| 6 Oct, 11:13 UTC | 89% |
| 6 Oct, 10:03 UTC | 88% |
| 6 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 88% |
| 6 Oct, 09:25 UTC | 88% |
| 5 Oct, 09:19 UTC | 93% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 6 Oct 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 6 October at 06:39 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October? — the market puts it at 91%, with $2 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Nov 2026. The market resolves based on which company holds the third-highest private market valuation according to New Money Partners (NPM) data on the last trading day of October 2026. If NPM stops publishing data, the market uses the most recent available figures or public market capitalization if a company goes public.
- ByteDance — the market puts it at 6%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if ByteDance develops an artificial intelligence model that ranks number one in the world before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the ranking source or assume any top-tier model qualifies instead of strictly holding the #1 spot.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October? 91%
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- Kalshi ByteDance 6%
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In this story
- ByteDance
- Abu Dhabi Investment Authority
- Coller Capital
- Primavera