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ADIA, Coller Join ByteDance-Backed Primavera Continuation Fund

Abu Dhabi Investment Authority and Coller Capital are negotiating to invest in a continuation vehicle anchored by a stake in ByteDance.

1 publisher · 1 article · first seen 6 Oct 2026 · updated 2d ago

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The odds

How the odds moved · Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?
0%50%100%91%5 Oct, 09:19 UTCnowBloomberg Markets: ByteDance Draws ADIA, Coller to Primavera’s Continuation Fund · 6 Oct, 06:39 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now91%
6 Oct, 17:53 UTC91%
6 Oct, 14:37 UTC90%
6 Oct, 12:34 UTC91%
6 Oct, 11:13 UTC89%
6 Oct, 10:03 UTC88%
6 Oct, 09:55 UTC88%
6 Oct, 09:25 UTC88%
5 Oct, 09:19 UTC93%

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 6 Oct 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 6 October at 06:39 UTC.

2 prediction markets price this story:

  • Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October? — the market puts it at 91%, with $2 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Nov 2026. The market resolves based on which company holds the third-highest private market valuation according to New Money Partners (NPM) data on the last trading day of October 2026. If NPM stops publishing data, the market uses the most recent available figures or public market capitalization if a company goes public.
  • ByteDance — the market puts it at 6%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if ByteDance develops an artificial intelligence model that ranks number one in the world before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the ranking source or assume any top-tier model qualifies instead of strictly holding the #1 spot.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. ByteDance Draws ADIA, Coller to Primavera’s Continuation Fund Bloomberg Markets ·

Markets on this story

  • Polymarket Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October? 91% $2 24hends 1 Nov 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi ByteDance 6% $0 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • ByteDance
  • Abu Dhabi Investment Authority
  • Coller Capital
  • Primavera
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