Ackman Discusses Howard Hughes Plans and Anthropic Views
Bill Ackman outlines his strategy for Howard Hughes, comments on the IPO market, and shares his perspective on AI company Anthropic.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 83% |
| 2 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 83% |
| 1 Oct, 22:33 UTC | 82% |
| 1 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 82% |
| 1 Oct, 21:03 UTC | 82% |
| 1 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 82% |
| 1 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 82% |
| 1 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 83% |
| 1 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 82% |
| 1 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 83% |
| 1 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 85% |
| 1 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 79% |
| 1 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 78% |
| 1 Oct, 08:11 UTC | 78% |
| 1 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 78% |
| 1 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 81% |
| 30 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 82% |
| 30 Sept, 20:46 UTC | 83% |
| 30 Sept, 16:09 UTC | 81% |
| 30 Sept, 13:00 UTC | 83% |
| 30 Sept, 12:53 UTC | 83% |
| 30 Sept, 12:16 UTC | 83% |
| 30 Sept, 11:47 UTC | 82% |
| 30 Sept, 11:11 UTC | 82% |
| 30 Sept, 08:57 UTC | 81% |
| 30 Sept, 07:29 UTC | 82% |
| 30 Sept, 05:38 UTC | 83% |
| 30 Sept, 04:13 UTC | 82% |
| 30 Sept, 03:34 UTC | 83% |
| 30 Sept, 01:30 UTC | 82% |
| 29 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 83% |
| 29 Sept, 21:17 UTC | 84% |
| 29 Sept, 20:11 UTC | 83% |
| 29 Sept, 17:25 UTC | 82% |
| 29 Sept, 16:07 UTC | 82% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 81% |
| 29 Sept, 15:16 UTC | 81% |
| 29 Sept, 14:36 UTC | 82% |
| 29 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 82% |
| 29 Sept, 13:58 UTC | 83% |
| 29 Sept, 13:27 UTC | 83% |
| 29 Sept, 12:18 UTC | 85% |
| 29 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 84% |
| 29 Sept, 10:59 UTC | 83% |
| 29 Sept, 08:13 UTC | 84% |
| 29 Sept, 07:40 UTC | 83% |
| 29 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 82% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 83% |
| 28 Sept, 12:40 UTC | 75% |
| 28 Sept, 12:11 UTC | 76% |
| 28 Sept, 10:35 UTC | 75% |
| 28 Sept, 02:33 UTC | 74% |
| 28 Sept, 00:14 UTC | 75% |
| 27 Sept, 23:59 UTC | 75% |
| 27 Sept, 22:47 UTC | 75% |
| 27 Sept, 15:45 UTC | 76% |
| 27 Sept, 08:42 UTC | 76% |
| 27 Sept, 04:11 UTC | 76% |
| 27 Sept, 03:39 UTC | 77% |
| 27 Sept, 03:12 UTC | 76% |
| 27 Sept, 00:34 UTC | 75% |
| 26 Sept, 23:42 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Sept, 23:17 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Sept, 18:34 UTC | 75% |
| 26 Sept, 17:32 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Sept, 17:14 UTC | 75% |
| 26 Sept, 16:48 UTC | 75% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 77% |
| 25 Sept, 02:33 UTC | 78% |
| 24 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 76% |
| 24 Sept, 19:03 UTC | 77% |
| 24 Sept, 03:32 UTC | 76% |
| 23 Sept, 23:08 UTC | 76% |
| 23 Sept, 22:12 UTC | 76% |
| 23 Sept, 18:33 UTC | 76% |
| 23 Sept, 16:49 UTC | 77% |
| 23 Sept, 16:11 UTC | 77% |
| 23 Sept, 15:31 UTC | 77% |
| 23 Sept, 15:17 UTC | 78% |
| 23 Sept, 14:54 UTC | 79% |
| 23 Sept, 13:46 UTC | 78% |
| 23 Sept, 12:14 UTC | 78% |
| 23 Sept, 11:51 UTC | 78% |
| 23 Sept, 09:50 UTC | 78% |
| 23 Sept, 09:28 UTC | 80% |
| 23 Sept, 07:59 UTC | 80% |
| 23 Sept, 06:49 UTC | 80% |
| 23 Sept, 06:28 UTC | 80% |
| 23 Sept, 05:55 UTC | 81% |
| 23 Sept, 05:26 UTC | 81% |
| 23 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 82% |
| 23 Sept, 04:22 UTC | 81% |
| 23 Sept, 03:49 UTC | 81% |
| 23 Sept, 03:22 UTC | 81% |
| 23 Sept, 02:45 UTC | 81% |
| 23 Sept, 00:00 UTC | 82% |
| 22 Sept, 19:49 UTC | 82% |
| 22 Sept, 14:57 UTC | 83% |
| 22 Sept, 03:40 UTC | 82% |
| 22 Sept, 01:39 UTC | 81% |
| 22 Sept, 01:06 UTC | 81% |
| 21 Sept, 23:42 UTC | 81% |
| 21 Sept, 23:22 UTC | 81% |
| 21 Sept, 22:15 UTC | 81% |
| 21 Sept, 18:05 UTC | 79% |
| 21 Sept, 08:37 UTC | 79% |
| 21 Sept, 06:57 UTC | 78% |
| 21 Sept, 06:19 UTC | 77% |
| 21 Sept, 05:55 UTC | 78% |
| 21 Sept, 05:09 UTC | 78% |
| 21 Sept, 01:19 UTC | 75% |
| 21 Sept, 00:07 UTC | 74% |
| 20 Sept, 22:05 UTC | 73% |
| 20 Sept, 20:39 UTC | 74% |
| 20 Sept, 18:52 UTC | 76% |
| 20 Sept, 15:28 UTC | 72% |
| 20 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 73% |
| 20 Sept, 09:41 UTC | 72% |
| 20 Sept, 09:03 UTC | 74% |
| 20 Sept, 07:53 UTC | 74% |
| 20 Sept, 07:29 UTC | 74% |
| 20 Sept, 06:31 UTC | 74% |
| 20 Sept, 06:25 UTC | 75% |
| 20 Sept, 03:00 UTC | 74% |
| 20 Sept, 02:41 UTC | 75% |
| 20 Sept, 01:31 UTC | 74% |
| 20 Sept, 01:11 UTC | 76% |
| 20 Sept, 00:21 UTC | 75% |
| 19 Sept, 23:58 UTC | 76% |
| 19 Sept, 23:19 UTC | 76% |
| 19 Sept, 22:42 UTC | 77% |
| 19 Sept, 21:11 UTC | 76% |
| 19 Sept, 20:40 UTC | 76% |
| 19 Sept, 20:17 UTC | 77% |
| 19 Sept, 19:42 UTC | 78% |
| 19 Sept, 19:11 UTC | 77% |
| 19 Sept, 11:19 UTC | 79% |
| 19 Sept, 09:13 UTC | 80% |
| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 79% |
| 18 Sept, 04:59 UTC | 85% |
| 17 Sept, 17:07 UTC | 88% |
| 17 Sept, 11:23 UTC | 86% |
| 17 Sept, 06:55 UTC | 86% |
| 16 Sept, 21:45 UTC | 85% |
| 16 Sept, 10:47 UTC | 84% |
| 16 Sept, 07:50 UTC | 86% |
| 16 Sept, 06:45 UTC | 86% |
| 16 Sept, 03:38 UTC | 87% |
| 15 Sept, 06:46 UTC | 84% |
| 15 Sept, 01:55 UTC | 85% |
| 15 Sept, 01:04 UTC | 86% |
| 15 Sept, 00:32 UTC | 85% |
| 15 Sept, 00:13 UTC | 85% |
| 14 Sept, 11:04 UTC | 85% |
| 14 Sept, 08:06 UTC | 84% |
| 14 Sept, 06:46 UTC | 85% |
| 14 Sept, 05:42 UTC | 85% |
| 14 Sept, 03:42 UTC | 86% |
| 14 Sept, 02:11 UTC | 86% |
| 14 Sept, 01:56 UTC | 86% |
| 14 Sept, 00:07 UTC | 87% |
| 13 Sept, 23:51 UTC | 86% |
| 13 Sept, 23:20 UTC | 87% |
| 13 Sept, 22:46 UTC | 86% |
| 13 Sept, 22:06 UTC | 87% |
| 13 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 87% |
| 13 Sept, 20:17 UTC | 85% |
| 13 Sept, 17:10 UTC | 85% |
| 13 Sept, 12:45 UTC | 84% |
| 13 Sept, 09:23 UTC | 84% |
| 13 Sept, 08:59 UTC | 85% |
| 13 Sept, 06:53 UTC | 85% |
| 13 Sept, 06:19 UTC | 87% |
| 13 Sept, 05:01 UTC | 89% |
| 13 Sept, 04:34 UTC | 90% |
| 13 Sept, 02:07 UTC | 90% |
| 12 Sept, 22:54 UTC | 90% |
| 12 Sept, 20:30 UTC | 91% |
| 12 Sept, 19:52 UTC | 92% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 91% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 91% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Anthropic IPO before 2027? respond.
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 3 articles since 30 Sept 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 30 September at 16:51 UTC. The most recent article, from Bloomberg Technology, appeared on 30 September at 20:24 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Anthropic IPO before 2027? — the market puts it at 83%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The Yes outcome occurs if Anthropic completes its first public stock sale on a recognized exchange by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The No outcome applies if the company does not meet this deadline or if it merges, gets acquired, or ceases to exist before then. Readers often mistake the linked news story about AI collusion for the resolution event, but only an actual IPO counts toward the result.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Anthropic IPO before 2027? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Anthropic IPO before 2027? 83% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
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In this story
- Bill Ackman
- Howard Hughes
- Anthropic
- Pershing Square