3 stories · 5 markets · RSS
How much the press wrote about NHC each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 70% |
| 28 Sept, 04:15 UTC | 67% |
| 28 Sept, 03:57 UTC | 64% |
| 28 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 53% |
| 28 Sept, 02:48 UTC | 50% |
| 28 Sept, 02:15 UTC | 40% |
| 28 Sept, 01:28 UTC | 42% |
| 28 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Sept, 00:14 UTC | 38% |
| 27 Sept, 23:51 UTC | 31% |
| 27 Sept, 23:09 UTC | 18% |
| 27 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 17% |
| 27 Sept, 21:37 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Sept, 21:29 UTC | 11% |
| 26 Sept, 20:56 UTC | 19% |
The powerful cyclone maintains Category 3 intensity while moving north toward the peninsula, prompting warnings for mainland Mexico.
Kalshi Category 5 or above 99%The National Hurricane Center reports Hurricane Polo has intensified with 110 kt winds while tracking Tropical Storm Rachel and weak Tropical Depression Fay.
Kalshi Above 10 29%The system is located about 305 miles southeast of Acapulco with maximum sustained winds near 35 mph and is forecast to strengthen while remaining offshore.
Kalshi Above 18 1%