Above 18
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
Resolves2 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 26 Sept, 08:48 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 18 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 1, 2026. It resolves to No if that count does not exceed 18 within this specific timeframe. Readers often mistake the end date as December 31, but the official deadline is December 1.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%