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Coverage vs. odds, last two weeks

How much the press wrote about House each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.

746 articles in 14 days, per day.

Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?

How the odds moved · Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?

Price data

Time	Chance of yes
now	99%
5 Nov, 02:17 UTC	99%
5 Nov, 01:35 UTC	99%
5 Nov, 01:06 UTC	99%
5 Nov, 00:59 UTC	99%
5 Nov, 00:16 UTC	99%
4 Nov, 23:54 UTC	99%
4 Nov, 23:25 UTC	99%
4 Nov, 22:42 UTC	99%
4 Nov, 22:27 UTC	99%
4 Nov, 21:26 UTC	99%
4 Nov, 20:52 UTC	99%
4 Nov, 20:23 UTC	99%
4 Nov, 19:35 UTC	99%
4 Nov, 19:19 UTC	99%
4 Nov, 18:27 UTC	99%
4 Nov, 17:56 UTC	99%
4 Nov, 16:57 UTC	99%
4 Nov, 16:20 UTC	100%
4 Nov, 15:58 UTC	99%
4 Nov, 15:06 UTC	100%
4 Nov, 14:59 UTC	99%
4 Nov, 14:23 UTC	100%
4 Nov, 13:53 UTC	100%
4 Nov, 13:24 UTC	99%
4 Nov, 12:54 UTC	100%
4 Nov, 12:24 UTC	99%
4 Nov, 11:54 UTC	99%
4 Nov, 11:12 UTC	99%
4 Nov, 10:58 UTC	100%
4 Nov, 10:29 UTC	99%
4 Nov, 09:57 UTC	100%
4 Nov, 09:21 UTC	100%
4 Nov, 08:45 UTC	100%
4 Nov, 08:24 UTC	100%
4 Nov, 07:27 UTC	100%
4 Nov, 06:57 UTC	100%
4 Nov, 06:28 UTC	99%
4 Nov, 05:39 UTC	100%
4 Nov, 04:54 UTC	100%
4 Nov, 04:25 UTC	100%
4 Nov, 03:55 UTC	100%
4 Nov, 03:26 UTC	99%
4 Nov, 02:56 UTC	99%
4 Nov, 02:26 UTC	99%
4 Nov, 01:57 UTC	98%
4 Nov, 01:27 UTC	96%
4 Nov, 00:58 UTC	91%
4 Nov, 00:29 UTC	89%
3 Nov, 23:53 UTC	91%
3 Nov, 23:24 UTC	86%
3 Nov, 22:41 UTC	86%
3 Nov, 22:12 UTC	85%
3 Nov, 21:49 UTC	85%
3 Nov, 21:26 UTC	84%
3 Nov, 20:56 UTC	86%
3 Nov, 20:27 UTC	85%
3 Nov, 19:57 UTC	85%
3 Nov, 19:06 UTC	85%
3 Nov, 18:44 UTC	85%
3 Nov, 18:21 UTC	85%
3 Nov, 17:58 UTC	85%
3 Nov, 17:10 UTC	84%
3 Nov, 16:55 UTC	86%
3 Nov, 16:26 UTC	86%
3 Nov, 15:57 UTC	86%
3 Nov, 15:14 UTC	85%
3 Nov, 14:53 UTC	85%
3 Nov, 14:03 UTC	85%
3 Nov, 13:55 UTC	86%
3 Nov, 12:42 UTC	85%
3 Nov, 12:28 UTC	87%
3 Nov, 11:52 UTC	89%
3 Nov, 10:38 UTC	87%
3 Nov, 10:22 UTC	87%
3 Nov, 09:47 UTC	86%
3 Nov, 09:06 UTC	87%
3 Nov, 08:59 UTC	88%
3 Nov, 08:25 UTC	88%
3 Nov, 07:48 UTC	88%
3 Nov, 07:20 UTC	88%
3 Nov, 06:51 UTC	85%
3 Nov, 06:15 UTC	87%
3 Nov, 05:39 UTC	87%
3 Nov, 05:25 UTC	87%
3 Nov, 04:29 UTC	88%
3 Nov, 03:54 UTC	87%
3 Nov, 03:19 UTC	87%
3 Nov, 02:58 UTC	87%
3 Nov, 02:23 UTC	86%
3 Nov, 01:24 UTC	87%
3 Nov, 00:48 UTC	88%
3 Nov, 00:19 UTC	88%
2 Nov, 23:44 UTC	88%
2 Nov, 23:23 UTC	87%
2 Nov, 22:54 UTC	89%
2 Nov, 22:24 UTC	88%
2 Nov, 21:48 UTC	88%
2 Nov, 21:12 UTC	87%
2 Nov, 20:58 UTC	88%
2 Nov, 20:16 UTC	88%
2 Nov, 19:54 UTC	88%
2 Nov, 19:04 UTC	87%
2 Nov, 18:56 UTC	88%
2 Nov, 17:34 UTC	86%
2 Nov, 17:26 UTC	88%
2 Nov, 16:42 UTC	87%
2 Nov, 16:27 UTC	88%
2 Nov, 15:34 UTC	88%
2 Nov, 15:27 UTC	89%
2 Nov, 14:56 UTC	88%
2 Nov, 14:26 UTC	89%
2 Nov, 13:56 UTC	89%
2 Nov, 13:18 UTC	89%
2 Nov, 12:49 UTC	89%
2 Nov, 11:29 UTC	88%
2 Nov, 09:25 UTC	88%
2 Nov, 08:43 UTC	87%
2 Nov, 08:29 UTC	88%
2 Nov, 07:47 UTC	88%
2 Nov, 07:25 UTC	88%
2 Nov, 06:21 UTC	88%
2 Nov, 05:53 UTC	88%
2 Nov, 05:09 UTC	89%
2 Nov, 04:54 UTC	89%
2 Nov, 04:26 UTC	88%
2 Nov, 03:42 UTC	87%
2 Nov, 03:21 UTC	87%
2 Nov, 02:58 UTC	86%
2 Nov, 02:15 UTC	86%
2 Nov, 01:53 UTC	87%
2 Nov, 01:24 UTC	86%
2 Nov, 00:55 UTC	86%
2 Nov, 00:19 UTC	86%
1 Nov, 23:43 UTC	86%
1 Nov, 23:07 UTC	86%
1 Nov, 21:12 UTC	86%
1 Nov, 20:43 UTC	86%
1 Nov, 19:09 UTC	86%
1 Nov, 18:47 UTC	85%
1 Nov, 18:18 UTC	86%
1 Nov, 17:56 UTC	86%
1 Nov, 17:20 UTC	86%
1 Nov, 16:29 UTC	85%
1 Nov, 15:53 UTC	85%
1 Nov, 15:24 UTC	85%
1 Nov, 14:45 UTC	84%
1 Nov, 14:16 UTC	85%
1 Nov, 13:24 UTC	84%
1 Nov, 12:55 UTC	85%
1 Nov, 12:02 UTC	85%
1 Nov, 10:43 UTC	84%
1 Nov, 10:28 UTC	85%
1 Nov, 09:28 UTC	84%
1 Nov, 08:54 UTC	85%
1 Nov, 08:06 UTC	84%
1 Nov, 07:45 UTC	85%
1 Nov, 07:18 UTC	84%
1 Nov, 06:57 UTC	85%
1 Nov, 06:22 UTC	85%
1 Nov, 04:01 UTC	84%
1 Nov, 03:47 UTC	85%
1 Nov, 03:26 UTC	85%
1 Nov, 02:22 UTC	85%
31 Oct, 23:46 UTC	85%
31 Oct, 23:11 UTC	84%
31 Oct, 22:43 UTC	85%
31 Oct, 22:00 UTC	84%
31 Oct, 21:53 UTC	85%
31 Oct, 20:07 UTC	84%
31 Oct, 19:59 UTC	85%
31 Oct, 19:02 UTC	84%
31 Oct, 18:55 UTC	85%
31 Oct, 17:57 UTC	85%
31 Oct, 17:21 UTC	85%
31 Oct, 16:36 UTC	84%
31 Oct, 16:15 UTC	85%
31 Oct, 15:15 UTC	85%
31 Oct, 14:53 UTC	85%
31 Oct, 13:46 UTC	85%
31 Oct, 12:54 UTC	85%
31 Oct, 12:04 UTC	84%
31 Oct, 11:57 UTC	85%
31 Oct, 11:28 UTC	85%
31 Oct, 10:38 UTC	85%
31 Oct, 08:35 UTC	84%
31 Oct, 08:28 UTC	85%
31 Oct, 07:53 UTC	85%
31 Oct, 06:15 UTC	84%
31 Oct, 05:54 UTC	85%
31 Oct, 04:57 UTC	84%
31 Oct, 04:21 UTC	85%
31 Oct, 03:45 UTC	85%
31 Oct, 03:01 UTC	84%
31 Oct, 02:54 UTC	85%
31 Oct, 02:26 UTC	85%
31 Oct, 01:46 UTC	84%
31 Oct, 01:25 UTC	85%
31 Oct, 00:57 UTC	85%
31 Oct, 00:02 UTC	84%
30 Oct, 23:55 UTC	85%
30 Oct, 23:16 UTC	85%
30 Oct, 22:40 UTC	85%
30 Oct, 22:26 UTC	84%
30 Oct, 21:46 UTC	85%
30 Oct, 21:24 UTC	84%
30 Oct, 20:44 UTC	85%
30 Oct, 19:34 UTC	84%
30 Oct, 19:27 UTC	85%
30 Oct, 18:37 UTC	84%
30 Oct, 18:03 UTC	85%
30 Oct, 17:27 UTC	85%
30 Oct, 16:18 UTC	84%
30 Oct, 15:50 UTC	85%
30 Oct, 15:21 UTC	84%
30 Oct, 14:58 UTC	84%
30 Oct, 14:23 UTC	85%
30 Oct, 13:58 UTC	84%
30 Oct, 13:20 UTC	85%
30 Oct, 12:59 UTC	83%
30 Oct, 11:59 UTC	84%
30 Oct, 11:24 UTC	84%
30 Oct, 10:43 UTC	84%
30 Oct, 10:28 UTC	83%
30 Oct, 09:58 UTC	84%
30 Oct, 09:09 UTC	84%
30 Oct, 08:55 UTC	83%
30 Oct, 08:22 UTC	84%
30 Oct, 07:42 UTC	83%
30 Oct, 07:28 UTC	84%
30 Oct, 04:36 UTC	83%
30 Oct, 04:29 UTC	84%
30 Oct, 02:55 UTC	83%
30 Oct, 02:16 UTC	84%
30 Oct, 01:48 UTC	83%
30 Oct, 01:21 UTC	84%
30 Oct, 00:56 UTC	83%
30 Oct, 00:28 UTC	83%
29 Oct, 23:33 UTC	83%
29 Oct, 23:12 UTC	82%
29 Oct, 22:57 UTC	83%
29 Oct, 22:17 UTC	83%
29 Oct, 21:48 UTC	82%
29 Oct, 21:14 UTC	83%
29 Oct, 20:46 UTC	83%
29 Oct, 19:57 UTC	82%
29 Oct, 19:29 UTC	83%
29 Oct, 18:35 UTC	82%
29 Oct, 18:28 UTC	83%
29 Oct, 17:59 UTC	83%
29 Oct, 17:19 UTC	82%
29 Oct, 16:50 UTC	83%
29 Oct, 16:15 UTC	83%
29 Oct, 15:45 UTC	83%
29 Oct, 15:22 UTC	82%
29 Oct, 14:47 UTC	82%
29 Oct, 14:16 UTC	82%
29 Oct, 13:46 UTC	82%
29 Oct, 13:29 UTC	81%
29 Oct, 12:59 UTC	82%
29 Oct, 12:11 UTC	82%
29 Oct, 11:56 UTC	82%
29 Oct, 11:20 UTC	82%
29 Oct, 10:41 UTC	84%
29 Oct, 10:04 UTC	82%
29 Oct, 09:55 UTC	83%
29 Oct, 07:12 UTC	82%
29 Oct, 06:51 UTC	83%
29 Oct, 06:11 UTC	83%
29 Oct, 05:58 UTC	83%
29 Oct, 04:56 UTC	82%
29 Oct, 04:14 UTC	83%

Stories

Democrats Secure House Majority Amid GOP Midterm Losses Hot: $494k traded on its market in 24 hours

House Democrats prepare to govern with a new majority while Republicans face internal reckoning over their electoral defeat.

politics 50 sources 1h ago Priced in

Kalshi Democracy 8%

Democrats Win Blue Wave, Flipping House and Senate in Historic Midterm Sweep Hot: $6.0M traded on its market in 24 hours

Democrats secure historic majorities in both chambers of Congress, overturning Republican control and marking the largest swing for their party in over 75 years.

politics 27 sources 57m ago Priced in

Kalshi Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate? 99%

Democrats Retake Control of Congress in 2026 US Midterms Hot: $494k traded on its market in 24 hours

Voters reject Donald Trump’s agenda, handing Democrats control of the Senate and House after a series of sweeping victories.

politics 24 sources 2h ago Priced in

Kalshi Democracy 8%