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Markets on Berlin

Coverage vs. odds, last two weeks

How much the press wrote about Berlin each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.

27 0 7 Sept: 18 articles 8 Sept: 13 articles 9 Sept: 20 articles 10 Sept: 17 articles 11 Sept: 10 articles 12 Sept: 16 articles 13 Sept: 7 articles 14 Sept: 27 articles 15 Sept: 22 articles 16 Sept: 13 articles 17 Sept: 25 articles 18 Sept: 13 articles 19 Sept: 22 articles 20 Sept: 15 articles 7 Sept14 Sept20 Sept
238 articles in 14 days, per day.

Will AfD win between 32% and 35% of all valid second votes?

How the odds moved · Will AfD win between 32% and 35% of all valid second votes?
0%50%100%7%14 Sept, 12:59 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now7%
20 Sept, 15:55 UTC6%
20 Sept, 15:28 UTC10%
20 Sept, 14:41 UTC12%
20 Sept, 14:24 UTC14%
20 Sept, 13:16 UTC16%
20 Sept, 12:05 UTC14%
19 Sept, 22:01 UTC14%
19 Sept, 21:27 UTC14%
14 Sept, 12:59 UTC15%

Stories

Germany holds regional elections as AfD gains ground and protests erupt Hot: Odds moved 24 points in 24 hours

Voters in Berlin and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania head to polls while the far-right Alternative for Germany consolidates power in Saxony-Anhalt, sparking nationwide demonstrations.

world 19 sources

Polymarket Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026? 34% −11