Vanderbilt Beats NC State 35-31 on Last-Second Fumble Recovery
Vanderbilt secured a 35-31 comeback victory after NC State quarterback CJ Bailey fumbled in the end zone with six seconds remaining.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by feeds.bleacherreport.com, 14 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 15 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 33% |
| 26 Sept, 23:42 UTC | 33% |
| 25 Sept, 19:32 UTC | 43% |
| 25 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 42% |
| 24 Sept, 19:24 UTC | 46% |
| 23 Sept, 17:32 UTC | 45% |
| 22 Sept, 16:56 UTC | 44% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch 6+ wins respond.
The story so far
5 publishers have covered this in 19 articles since 19 Sept 2026. feeds.bleacherreport.com published first, on 19 September at 20:35 UTC; CBS Sports Headlines followed 15 min later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 23 September at 20:06 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet), feeds.bleacherreport.com, CBS Sports Headlines, SI Feed.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- 6+ wins — the market puts it at 33%, with $84 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Vanderbilt records six or more victories during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if the team finishes with fewer than six wins. Readers often mistake a single game result for the final outcome, but only the total win count at the end of the regular season matters.
- Vanderbilt — resolved “No” on 27 Sept 2026. Vanderbilt must win its college football game against Auburn, which is currently scheduled for September 26, 2026, for the market to resolve to Yes. The outcome depends solely on the final result of that specific matchup between Vanderbilt and Auburn. Readers often mistakenly believe the linked story about Vanderbilt beating NC State determines the resolution, but that game is irrelevant to this market.
- Auburn wins by over 27.5 points — resolved “No” on 27 Sept 2026. Auburn must win the September 26, 2026 game against Vanderbilt by a margin of at least 28 points for the outcome to be Yes. The market resolves based on the official final score of that specific scheduled matchup. Readers often mistake this for any future Auburn game or assume the linked story about Vanderbilt and NC State affects the result.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on 6+ wins at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- feeds.bleacherreport.comWatch Vanderbilt Score Walk-Off TD After NC State Botches Intentional Safety in End Zone—
- CBS Sports HeadlinesWATCH: Vanderbilt scores miraculous last-second go-ahead touchdown after NC State fumbles intentional safety—
- SI FeedWATCH: Vanderbilt Turns NC State Mistake Into Miraculous Game-Winning Touchdown—
- www.espn.comNC State fumbles away game in last-second Vandy stunner—
- SI FeedInside Vanderbilt Football's Miracle Last-Second Win Over NC State And The Moment Miles Capers Became Immortalized—
- SI FeedVanderbilt’s Miracle Win Over NC State Rivals Western Michigan-Michigan for Last-Second Finish of the Year—
- CBS Sports HeadlinesWhere Vanderbilt's stunning win over NC State ranks among the craziest endings since 2000—
- The Guardian USNC State’s unfathomable last-second blunder gifts Vanderbilt miracle win—
- SI FeedVanderbilt Football Players React to Final Play of Unbelievable Win—
- SI Feed"Until the Game Hit Double Zeros," How Vanderbilt Football Set Itself Up For Miracle Ending Against NC State—
Show 9 later sources
- SI FeedTakeaways From Vanderbilt Football's Miraculous Win Over NC State—
- SI Feed5 Plays that Defined Vanderbilt's Unbelievable Win Over NC State—
- SI FeedInside Vanderbilt Football’s Miraculous Comeback Victory Over NC State—
- SI FeedColumn: Vanderbilt Football Preserved Its Season Trajectory, But it Has a Lot to Fix—
- SI FeedVanderbilt Football Stock Exchange After Week 3 Win Over NC State—
- SI FeedInside the Play Call That Produced Vanderbilt Football’s Miracle Win Over NC State44%
- SI FeedClark Lea Talks About Aftermath to Vanderbilt Football’s Win Over NC State44%
- SI FeedNC State's Football Program Is In Flux After Vanderbilt Loss44%
- SI FeedHow Vanderbilt Football's Miles Capers Went From Throwing Up To Miracle Maker45%▲1 points since the previous source
- Current odds33%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- NC State’s unfathomable last-second blunder gifts Vanderbilt miracle win The Guardian US ·
- NC State fumbles away game in last-second Vandy stunner www.espn.com ·
- How Vanderbilt Football's Miles Capers Went From Throwing Up To Miracle Maker SI Feed
- NC State's Football Program Is In Flux After Vanderbilt Loss SI Feed
- Clark Lea Talks About Aftermath to Vanderbilt Football’s Win Over NC State SI Feed
- Inside the Play Call That Produced Vanderbilt Football’s Miracle Win Over NC State SI Feed
Show 13 more sources
- Vanderbilt Football Stock Exchange After Week 3 Win Over NC State SI Feed
- Column: Vanderbilt Football Preserved Its Season Trajectory, But it Has a Lot to Fix SI Feed
- Inside Vanderbilt Football’s Miraculous Comeback Victory Over NC State SI Feed
- 5 Plays that Defined Vanderbilt's Unbelievable Win Over NC State SI Feed
- Takeaways From Vanderbilt Football's Miraculous Win Over NC State SI Feed
- "Until the Game Hit Double Zeros," How Vanderbilt Football Set Itself Up For Miracle Ending Against NC State SI Feed
- Vanderbilt Football Players React to Final Play of Unbelievable Win SI Feed
- Where Vanderbilt's stunning win over NC State ranks among the craziest endings since 2000 CBS Sports Headlines
- Vanderbilt’s Miracle Win Over NC State Rivals Western Michigan-Michigan for Last-Second Finish of the Year SI Feed
- Inside Vanderbilt Football's Miracle Last-Second Win Over NC State And The Moment Miles Capers Became Immortalized SI Feed
- WATCH: Vanderbilt Turns NC State Mistake Into Miraculous Game-Winning Touchdown SI Feed
- WATCH: Vanderbilt scores miraculous last-second go-ahead touchdown after NC State fumbles intentional safety CBS Sports Headlines
- Watch Vanderbilt Score Walk-Off TD After NC State Botches Intentional Safety in End Zone feeds.bleacherreport.com
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi 6+ wins 33% −10
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Vanderbilt No 38d ago
The market favoured No at 76% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Auburn wins by over 27.5 points No 38d ago
The market favoured No at 87% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Vanderbilt
- NC State
- CJ Bailey