Valverde late winner gives Real Madrid 3-2 Champions League victory at AEK Athens
Federico Valverde scores a late goal to secure a 3-2 comeback win for Real Madrid against AEK Athens in the Champions League.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by The Guardian Sport, 2h 00m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 15% |
| 4 Nov, 22:20 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Nov, 19:57 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Nov, 19:19 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 18:50 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Nov, 18:11 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Nov, 08:17 UTC | 15% |
| 4 Nov, 05:31 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Nov, 02:49 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 23:46 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Nov, 23:17 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 22:56 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 22:19 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Nov, 20:34 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 19:06 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Nov, 18:06 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Nov, 14:32 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Nov, 13:55 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Nov, 12:50 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Nov, 12:28 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 11:13 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Nov, 10:59 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Nov, 08:32 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Nov, 06:08 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Nov, 00:26 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Nov, 23:37 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Nov, 23:16 UTC | 12% |
| 2 Nov, 18:34 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Nov, 17:34 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Nov, 17:26 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Nov, 15:27 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Nov, 10:43 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Nov, 05:02 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Nov, 03:28 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Nov, 02:08 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Nov, 01:46 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Nov, 01:02 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 12% |
| 2 Nov, 00:19 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Nov, 23:22 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Nov, 22:24 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Nov, 21:19 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Nov, 20:14 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Nov, 19:09 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Nov, 18:33 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Nov, 17:56 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Nov, 16:58 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Nov, 16:15 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Nov, 15:16 UTC | 11% |
| 1 Nov, 13:46 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Nov, 12:41 UTC | 11% |
| 1 Nov, 06:01 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Nov, 05:47 UTC | 13% |
| 31 Oct, 21:10 UTC | 14% |
| 31 Oct, 20:14 UTC | 13% |
| 31 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 12% |
| 31 Oct, 18:04 UTC | 13% |
| 31 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 12% |
| 31 Oct, 16:58 UTC | 12% |
| 31 Oct, 15:52 UTC | 13% |
| 31 Oct, 13:38 UTC | 14% |
| 31 Oct, 09:31 UTC | 13% |
| 31 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 11% |
| 31 Oct, 06:29 UTC | 14% |
| 31 Oct, 05:19 UTC | 13% |
| 31 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 12% |
| 31 Oct, 00:57 UTC | 14% |
| 31 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 13% |
| 30 Oct, 23:41 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Oct, 23:23 UTC | 13% |
| 30 Oct, 22:40 UTC | 11% |
| 30 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Oct, 18:58 UTC | 12% |
| 30 Oct, 08:41 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Oct, 05:14 UTC | 13% |
| 30 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Oct, 03:54 UTC | 12% |
| 30 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Oct, 23:40 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Oct, 23:12 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 12% |
| 29 Oct, 16:50 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Oct, 14:40 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Oct, 11:12 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Oct, 05:03 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Oct, 04:49 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Oct, 04:07 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Oct, 03:49 UTC | 12% |
| 29 Oct, 03:14 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Oct, 01:38 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 12% |
| 29 Oct, 00:48 UTC | 14% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Real Madrid respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 4 Nov 2026. The Guardian Sport published first, on 4 November at 20:04 UTC; BBC Sport followed 2h 00m later. The most recent article, from France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines, appeared on 4 November at 22:17 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), BBC Sport, France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Real Madrid — the market puts it at 15%, with $17k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 19 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Real Madrid wins the 2026-27 Champions League title. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake this for a bet on any single match, such as the linked game against Roma, rather than the entire season's outcome.
- Real Madrid — the market puts it at 28%, with $4k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Real Madrid wins the 2026-27 La Liga title. It resolves to No if they do not. Readers often mistake the date of a single match, like the recent loss to Barcelona, for the final championship outcome.
- Real Madrid — the market puts it at 28%, closing 8 May 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Real Madrid wins the 2026-27 Copa del Rey tournament. It resolves to No if they do not win the title. Readers often mistake a single match victory, like beating Villarreal, for winning the entire competition.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Real Madrid at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The Guardian SportValverde’s late winner breaks AEK Athens hearts as Real Madrid twice come from behind14%
- BBC SportValverde stunner earns Real Madrid late win at AEK Athens14%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesChampions League: Real Madrid seal late comeback as Liverpool lose to Fenerbahce14%
- Current odds15%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Valverde’s late winner breaks AEK Athens hearts as Real Madrid twice come from behind The Guardian Sport ·
- Champions League: Real Madrid seal late comeback as Liverpool lose to Fenerbahce France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Valverde stunner earns Real Madrid late win at AEK Athens BBC Sport
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Real Madrid 15% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Real Madrid 28% +2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Real Madrid 28%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
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In this story
- Real Madrid
- AEK Athens
- Federico Valverde
- José Mourinho