USC May Pay Lincoln Riley $70 Million Buyout After Loss to Wisconsin Hot: Odds moved 28 points in 24 hours
Reports indicate the Trojans could owe head coach Lincoln Riley up to $70 million following their upset defeat against Wisconsin.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 23% |
| 25 Oct, 03:58 UTC | 23% |
| 25 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 21% |
| 25 Oct, 02:56 UTC | 26% |
| 25 Oct, 02:21 UTC | 39% |
| 24 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 46% |
| 24 Oct, 21:44 UTC | 45% |
| 23 Oct, 06:25 UTC | 51% |
| 22 Oct, 22:18 UTC | 55% |
| 22 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 53% |
| 21 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 52% |
| 21 Oct, 05:48 UTC | 51% |
| 21 Oct, 05:27 UTC | 50% |
| 20 Oct, 11:36 UTC | 48% |
| 20 Oct, 11:19 UTC | 54% |
| 20 Oct, 08:15 UTC | 50% |
| 19 Oct, 01:13 UTC | 49% |
| 18 Oct, 09:01 UTC | 48% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 25 Oct 2026. CBS Sports Headlines published first, on 25 October at 03:19 UTC; feeds.bleacherreport.com followed 1h 06m later. The most recent article, from feeds.bleacherreport.com, appeared on 25 October at 04:25 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: CBS Sports Headlines, feeds.bleacherreport.com.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- 9+ wins — the market puts it at 23%, with $650 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the USC college football team achieves at least nine wins during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if the team finishes with fewer than nine wins in that same period. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it includes postseason games, but only the regular season counts.
- USC — the market puts it at 1%, with $8k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if USC wins the 2026 College Football Big Ten Championship Game. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake any regular-season victory over Oregon for a win in this specific championship game.
- USC — the market puts it at 1%, with $15k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 23 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if USC wins the College Football Playoff National Championship Game. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific game. Readers often mistake the linked story about a potential buyout as the resolution condition, but only the championship outcome matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi 9+ wins 23% −28
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi USC 1% −3
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi USC 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Lincoln Riley
- USC
- Wisconsin