USC
Implied probability 1%−5
24-hour volume$237
Total volume$57k
Liquidity$57k
Resolves3 Jan 2027
Why it moved: −4 points at 05:05 UTC, after SI Feed: Lincoln Riley Delivers Statement On Dante Moore Hit Following Loss to Oregon — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 27 Sept, 05:43 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Sept, 05:05 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Sept, 03:59 UTC | 6% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if USC wins the 2026 College Football Big Ten Championship Game. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake any regular-season victory over Oregon for a win in this specific championship game.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%