9+ wins
Implied probability 53%+1
24-hour volume$9
Total volume$46k
Liquidity$46k
Resolves20 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 53% |
| 22 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 53% |
| 21 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 52% |
| 21 Oct, 05:48 UTC | 51% |
| 21 Oct, 05:27 UTC | 50% |
| 20 Oct, 11:36 UTC | 48% |
| 20 Oct, 11:19 UTC | 54% |
| 20 Oct, 08:15 UTC | 50% |
| 19 Oct, 01:13 UTC | 49% |
| 18 Oct, 09:01 UTC | 48% |
| 17 Oct, 20:25 UTC | 45% |
| 17 Oct, 00:24 UTC | 42% |
| 16 Oct, 06:43 UTC | 41% |
| 16 Oct, 06:08 UTC | 42% |
| 16 Oct, 05:42 UTC | 41% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the USC college football team achieves at least nine wins during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if the team finishes with fewer than nine wins in that same period. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it includes postseason games, but only the regular season counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 53%
- No 47%