US Tech Billionaires Make Up 36% of Bloomberg Index as Elon Musk Tops List

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 5 Oct 2026. Bloomberg Technology published first, on 5 October at 15:22 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Above $800 billion — the market puts it at 68%, with $50 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Forbes reports Elon Musk's net worth exceeds $800 billion on December 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the source of truth, assuming any financial report counts instead of only Forbes.
• More than $1.4 trillion — the market puts it at 22%, with $6k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Elon Musk’s net worth exceeds $1.4 trillion before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if his net worth does not reach that amount by that date. Readers often mistake the source of truth for net worth calculations or the specific deadline.
• Elon Musk — the market puts it at 99%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Elon Musk ranks among the three wealthiest people globally on December 31, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not meet this wealth threshold on that specific date. Readers often mistake the release of a documentary or other news events for the resolution criteria, but only his net worth ranking on the deadline matters.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.