US Approves $24.3 Billion Sale of F-35 Jets to Saudi Arabia
The State Department notified Congress of the potential sale of up to 48 stealth warplanes, marking a major breakthrough for Riyadh amid regional security concerns.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Times of India, 1h 03m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 20 Sept, 16:29 UTC | 8% |
| 20 Sept, 00:41 UTC | 9% |
| 19 Sept, 23:52 UTC | 8% |
| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Sept, 21:18 UTC | 7% |
| 17 Sept, 17:35 UTC | 6% |
| 17 Sept, 16:34 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Sept, 11:02 UTC | 7% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? respond.
The story so far
8 publishers have covered this in 9 articles since 17 Sept 2026. Times of India published first, on 17 September at 17:54 UTC; News Feed followed 1h 04m later. The most recent article, from africa.businessinsider.com, appeared on 18 September at 20:45 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: News Feed (major outlet), Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), The Hill News (major outlet), Times of India, South China Morning Post, africa.businessinsider.com, France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? — the market puts it at 8%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. Saudi Arabia must formally sign a normalization agreement with Israel under the Abraham Accords framework by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET for the market to resolve to Yes. The agreement must be publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Accords or their continuation. Readers often mistake general diplomatic progress or arms sales for a formal signing of the specific agreement.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Times of IndiaUS advances $24.3bn Saudi F-35 deal despite concerns over kingdom's China ties6%
- News FeedTrump administration approves $24bn sale of F-35 jets to Saudi Arabia6%
- South China Morning PostUS approves sale of 48 F-35 jets to Saudi Arabia despite Israeli concerns6%
- Bloomberg MarketsUS to Sell F-35s to Saudi Arabia in $24.3 Billion Deal7%▲1 points since the previous source
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraTrump administration approves sale of F-35 jets to Saudi Arabia7%
- africa.businessinsider.comSaudi Arabia finally gets US green light for $24.3 billion F-35 jets as Morocco continues its hunt for the same fighters amid pressure to normalise ties with Israel7%
- The Hill NewsState Department OKs potential $24B fighter jet sale to Saudis7%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesUS approves sale of F-35 fighter jets to Saudi Arabia7%
- africa.businessinsider.comMiddle East’s 5th-most powerful military turns to Europe and Africa for missile defence despite a new $24.3 billion F-35 deal with the US that can’t help it now7%
- Current odds8%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- State Department OKs potential $24B fighter jet sale to Saudis The Hill News ·
- Trump administration approves sale of F-35 jets to Saudi Arabia Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- US to Sell F-35s to Saudi Arabia in $24.3 Billion Deal Bloomberg Markets ·
- Trump administration approves $24bn sale of F-35 jets to Saudi Arabia News Feed ·
- Middle East’s 5th-most powerful military turns to Europe and Africa for missile defence despite a new $24.3 billion F-35 deal with the US that can’t help it now africa.businessinsider.com
- US approves sale of F-35 fighter jets to Saudi Arabia France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
Show 3 more sources
- Saudi Arabia finally gets US green light for $24.3 billion F-35 jets as Morocco continues its hunt for the same fighters amid pressure to normalise ties with Israel africa.businessinsider.com
- US approves sale of 48 F-35 jets to Saudi Arabia despite Israeli concerns South China Morning Post
- US advances $24.3bn Saudi F-35 deal despite concerns over kingdom's China ties Times of India
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? 8%
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In this story
- State Department
- Saudi Arabia
- Lockheed Martin Corp.
- Israel
- Congress