UK threatens to expel Israeli diplomats over Jerusalem consulate closure deadline

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 6 Oct 2026. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera published first, on 6 October at 14:47 UTC; News Feed followed 1h 07m later. The most recent article, from News Feed, appeared on 6 October at 15:54 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet).

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Saudi Arabia — the market puts it at 2%, with $3 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Israel and Saudi Arabia establish formal diplomatic ties before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about military cooperation or economic deals rather than official diplomatic normalization.
• Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? — the market puts it at 5%, with $8 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if both Israel and Saudi Arabia officially announce diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of 2027 or assume that informal talks count as an official announcement.
• Will Israel Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs? — the market puts it at 9%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Mar 2027. The market resolves to 'Yes' if an individual is appointed as Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs or its confirmed successor in the first government formed after the 2026 Knesset elections, with their appointment approved by a Knesset vote of confidence.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.