U.S. to Send Dozens of Afghan Immigrants Back to Afghanistan
The administration plans to fly immigrants from Louisiana to Pakistan for expulsion over the border.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 15:57 UTC | 1% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 30 Oct 2026. The New York Times published first, on 30 October at 16:17 UTC; Times of India followed 10h 14m later. The most recent article, from Times of India, appeared on 31 October at 02:31 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The New York Times (major outlet), Times of India.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Afghanistan — the market puts it at 1%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Afghanistan before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about deportations as the deciding factor, but only official State Department travel advisories count.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Afghanistan 1%
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In this story
- Donald Trump
- Afghanistan
- Louisiana
- Pakistan