Trump Says Greenland Oil And Gas Exploration Getting Ready To Begin
The US president announced that resource exploration is preparing to start in Greenland, following a recent deal to bolster American military presence on the island.
First reported by Times of India, 12 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 14 Oct, 04:34 UTC | 14% |
| 14 Oct, 00:48 UTC | 15% |
| 13 Oct, 21:03 UTC | 18% |
| 13 Oct, 12:51 UTC | 16% |
| 13 Oct, 04:15 UTC | 19% |
| 13 Oct, 01:35 UTC | 15% |
| 12 Oct, 17:36 UTC | 20% |
| 12 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 14% |
| 12 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 20% |
| 12 Oct, 00:15 UTC | 13% |
| 11 Oct, 22:08 UTC | 14% |
| 11 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 13% |
| 11 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 16% |
| 11 Oct, 04:28 UTC | 15% |
| 10 Oct, 23:49 UTC | 13% |
| 10 Oct, 20:09 UTC | 15% |
| 10 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 13% |
| 10 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 15% |
| 9 Oct, 19:51 UTC | 13% |
| 9 Oct, 07:16 UTC | 15% |
| 9 Oct, 02:21 UTC | 13% |
| 9 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 14% |
| 8 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 11% |
| 8 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 13% |
| 8 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 13% |
| 7 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 12% |
| 7 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 12% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Before January 20, 2029 respond.
The story so far
4 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 14 Oct 2026. Times of India published first, on 14 October at 05:20 UTC; CBS News followed 13 min later. The most recent article, from Fox News Politics, appeared on 14 October at 06:51 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: CBS News (major outlet), Times of India, France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines, Fox News Politics.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Before January 20, 2029 — the market puts it at 14%, with $65 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if the United States buys any portion of Greenland from Denmark before January 20, 2029. It resolves to No if that purchase does not happen by the deadline. Readers often mistake a security agreement for an actual land sale.
- Before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 11%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the U.S. President physically travels to and is present within Greenland's geographic boundaries before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if this specific visit does not occur by that date. Readers often mistake the linked story about Iceland for the required location, but only visits to Greenland count toward resolution.
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? — the market puts it at 2%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The Yes outcome requires an official announcement by the United States and Denmark that Greenland transfers to US sovereignty before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. This transfer must involve the majority of Greenland's territory coming under formal US governance or jurisdiction.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Before January 20, 2029 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Times of India‘Massive’ oil, gas exploration to begin in ‘our beautiful Greenland’: Donald Trump14%
- CBS NewsTrump says Greenland oil, gas and mineral exploration "getting ready to begin"14%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesTrump says 'massive' oil, gas and mineral exploration to begin in Greenland14%
- Fox News PoliticsTrump announces massive oil, gas and mineral exploration plans in Greenland, touts national security benefits14%
- Current odds14%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Trump says Greenland oil, gas and mineral exploration "getting ready to begin" CBS News ·
- Trump announces massive oil, gas and mineral exploration plans in Greenland, touts national security benefits Fox News Politics
- Trump says 'massive' oil, gas and mineral exploration to begin in Greenland France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- ‘Massive’ oil, gas exploration to begin in ‘our beautiful Greenland’: Donald Trump Times of India
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Before January 20, 2029 14% −5
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- Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2027 11%
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Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? 2%
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In this story
- Donald Trump
- Greenland
- Denmark