Trump's Legacy in Ukraine Compared to Benedict Arnold
Critics compare the former president's actions regarding Ukraine to the betrayal of Benedict Arnold during America's 250th anniversary celebrations.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 20:46 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 13:48 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 06:39 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 15:16 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 12:16 UTC | 5% |
| 18 Oct, 21:13 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Oct, 06:46 UTC | 2% |
| 13 Oct, 14:49 UTC | 2% |
| 9 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 6% |
| 5 Oct, 20:52 UTC | 6% |
| 4 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 0% |
| 23 Sept, 11:13 UTC | 9% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 27 Oct 2026. The Hill published first, on 27 October at 14:00 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Ukraine — the market puts it at 4%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump physically travels to and stays within Ukraine’s borders between now and January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake a scheduled visit or a virtual meeting for physical presence.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Related prediction markets
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- Kalshi Ukraine 4%
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