Ukraine
Implied probability 2%−4
24-hour volume$199
Total volume$17k
Liquidity$17k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 13 Oct, 14:49 UTC | 2% |
| 9 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 6% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump physically travels to and stays within Ukraine’s borders between now and January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake a scheduled visit or a virtual meeting for physical presence.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%