Timeline of the 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 12 Oct 2026. The Hill published first, on 12 October at 18:37 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Before Oct 15, 2026 — resolved “Yes” on 13 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if a hurricane with winds of at least 74 mph forms in the Atlantic Ocean before October 15, 2026. It resolves to No if no such storm develops in that region by the deadline. Readers often mistake the linked story about Mexico's Pacific Coast for the relevant event, but only storms in the Atlantic count.
• Above 2 — the market puts it at 9%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 2 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than two Category 3 or stronger hurricanes between January 1, 2026, and December 1, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the end date as December 31, 2026, but the deadline is actually December 1, 2026.
• Above 4 — the market puts it at 8%, with $223 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 2 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than four hurricanes of Category 1 or higher between January 1 and December 1, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline as the end of the calendar year rather than December 1.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.