Sydney Roosters to face Newcastle Knights in NRL grand final Hot: $70k traded on its market in 24 hours

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 2 articles since 3 Oct 2026. The Guardian Sport published first, on 3 October at 19:00 UTC. The most recent article, from The Guardian Sport, appeared on 4 October at 08:09 UTC.

2 prediction markets price this story:

• Sydney Roosters vs. Newcastle Knights — the market puts it at 100%, with $70k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 11 Oct 2026. The Sydney Roosters outcome wins if they win the final official result of the October 4, 2026 match, including extra time or golden point. The Newcastle Knights outcome wins if they secure that same final victory. Readers often mistake a draw for a loss for one side, but a draw triggers an automatic 50-50 split instead.
• Newcastle Knights — the market puts it at 1%, with $105 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 30 Nov 2028. The market resolves to Yes if the Newcastle Knights win the 2026 National Rugby League Championship. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific title. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of their performance in other seasons or tournaments.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.