Susan Collins Faces Scrutiny Over Kavanaugh Vote in Reelection Bid Hot: $70k traded on its market in 24 hours

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 5 Oct 2026. Washington Post published first, on 5 October at 09:25 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Susan Collins — the market puts it at 44%, with $70k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a Republican takes office as a U.S. Senator from Maine for the term starting in 2027. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.
• Olympia Snowe — the market puts it at 11%, closing 3 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Olympia Snowe publicly endorses Susan Collins in the 2026 Maine Senate election before November 3, 2026. The outcome is No if she does not make this endorsement by that deadline. Readers often mistake the linked story about Susan Collins for the resolution criteria, but only Snowe's specific action matters.
• Susan Collins — the market puts it at 22%, closing 1 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Senator Susan Collins votes in favor of Kari Lake’s nomination as U.S. Ambassador to Jamaica before January 1, 2028. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a bribery probe for the actual voting event that triggers the resolution.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.