States Vote on Voter ID and Redistricting Ballot Measures
Voters in Alaska, Arizona, California, and Nevada decide on election rules including voter ID requirements and redistricting proposals.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 17:28 UTC | 6% |
| 5 Nov, 16:58 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Nov, 22:27 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Nov, 18:11 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Nov, 14:08 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Nov, 13:24 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 11:47 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Nov, 05:39 UTC | 93% |
| 4 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 86% |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | 75% |
| 4 Nov, 03:48 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 00:07 UTC | 60% |
| 3 Nov, 23:46 UTC | 50% |
| 3 Nov, 23:17 UTC | 48% |
| 2 Nov, 22:22 UTC | 37% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 3 Nov 2026. NPR Politics published first, on 3 November at 22:53 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Ballot Measure 2 — the market puts it at 1%, with $183 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 2 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if Ballot Measure 2 passes in Alaska. The outcome is No if it fails or does not pass. Readers often mistake the deadline for when the vote occurs rather than when the official results are certified.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Ballot Measure 2 1% −7
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In this story
- Alaska
- Arizona
- California
- Nevada