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Spain opposition deepfake video sparks outrage ahead of election

The conservative People's party releases an ad using AI to manipulate likenesses linked to Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez, triggering debate on artificial intelligence.

1 publisher · 1 article · first seen 23 Oct 2026 · updated 2d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
0%50%100%15%1 Oct, 15:02 UTCnowThe Guardian: Opposition deepfake video sparks outrage in Spain ahead of election · 23 Oct, 16:35 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

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The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 23 Oct 2026. The Guardian published first, on 23 October at 16:35 UTC.

2 prediction markets price this story:

  • Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? — the market puts it at 15%, with $10k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Apr 2028. For the "Yes" outcome, Pedro Sánchez must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn in as Prime Minister by March 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET. The "No" outcome occurs if another individual assumes the role or if no new Prime Minister is officially confirmed by that deadline.
  • Pedro Sánchez — the market puts it at 23%, with $147 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 22 Aug 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Pedro Sánchez becomes Prime Minister of Spain after the next general election and satisfies all constitutional requirements before August 22, 2028. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline for the election date rather than the final resolution cutoff.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Opposition deepfake video sparks outrage in Spain ahead of election The Guardian ·

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Polymarket Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? 15% $10k 24hends 1 Apr 2028

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Pedro Sánchez 23% +6 $147 24hends 22 Aug 2028

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

Have your say

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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In this story

  • Pedro Sánchez
  • People's party
  • Socialist party
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