SNL Cold Open Mocks Pete Hegseth Welcoming USS Abraham Lincoln Home

The story so far

4 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 11 Oct 2026. Variety published first, on 11 October at 03:48 UTC; Deadline followed 3 min later. The most recent article, from The A.V. Club, appeared on 11 October at 09:16 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Variety Australia (major outlet), The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), Deadline, The A.V. Club.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Colin Jost — the market puts it at 24%, with $4 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Colin Jost is officially announced as the new showrunner of Saturday Night Live before January 1, 2028. It resolves to No if that announcement does not happen by that deadline. Readers often mistake a news report about a cold open or general rumors for an official confirmation of his succession.
• Pete Hegseth — the market puts it at 1%, closing 7 Nov 2028. The outcome is Yes if Pete Hegseth wins the Republican presidential nomination and accepts it. The outcome is No if he does not win or accept the nomination. Readers often mistake the linked news story about urging troops to register as a factor in the resolution, but only the 2028 nomination status matters.
• Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — the market puts it at 0%, with $37 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Nov 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Pete Hegseth wins and accepts the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, as determined by a consensus of official Republican Party sources. It resolves to No in all other cases, including if he loses the nomination or declines it after winning.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.