Sen. Mark Kelly and Brett McGurk Appear on Face the Nation
The two figures provided transcripts of their respective interviews with Margaret Brennan for the CBS News program.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 69% |
| 3 Oct, 14:22 UTC | 69% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 4 articles since 4 Oct 2026. CBS News published first, on 4 October at 15:16 UTC. The most recent article, from CBS News Politics, appeared on 4 October at 16:41 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Mark Kelly — the market puts it at 69%, closing 1 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Mark Kelly formally announces a campaign for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028 before January 1, 2028. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake any appearance on news programs or general speculation as an official announcement.
- Hunter Biden — the market puts it at 13%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Hunter Biden appears on the Joe Rogan Experience before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Sen. Mark Kelly for the relevant event.
- Mark Kelly — the market puts it at 4%, with $5k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Mark Kelly wins and accepts the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of his election victory rather than just securing the party's nomination.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Mark Kelly at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- CBS NewsTranscript: Brett McGurk on "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan," Oct. 4, 202669%
- CBS NewsTranscript: Sen. Mark Kelly on "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan," Oct. 4, 202669%
- CBS NewsTranscript: Energy Secretary Chris Wright on "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan," Oct. 4, 202669%
- CBS News PoliticsTranscript: Zach Lahn, Iowa GOP nominee for governor, on "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan," Oct. 4, 202669%
- Current odds69%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Transcript: Zach Lahn, Iowa GOP nominee for governor, on "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan," Oct. 4, 2026 CBS News Politics ·
- Transcript: Energy Secretary Chris Wright on "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan," Oct. 4, 2026 CBS News ·
- Transcript: Sen. Mark Kelly on "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan," Oct. 4, 2026 CBS News ·
- Transcript: Brett McGurk on "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan," Oct. 4, 2026 CBS News ·
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Mark Kelly 69%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Hunter Biden 13%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Mark Kelly 4%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Mark Kelly
- Brett McGurk
- Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan