Raphinha Scores Brace for Barcelona in Champions League Win Over Aston Villa
The Barcelona captain paid an emotional tribute to the late Tenerife player after scoring twice in the victory.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 05:42 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Nov, 21:42 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 20:06 UTC | 7% |
| 4 Nov, 18:50 UTC | 6% |
| 4 Nov, 07:04 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Nov, 22:12 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Nov, 21:49 UTC | 11% |
| 2 Nov, 04:40 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Nov, 21:48 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 23:48 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Oct, 10:41 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 16:30 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 05:40 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 04:33 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Oct, 16:51 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 01:02 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Oct, 05:18 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Oct, 20:02 UTC | 8% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 9% |
| 18 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 11:37 UTC | 9% |
| 16 Oct, 04:56 UTC | 8% |
| 15 Oct, 10:05 UTC | 9% |
| 14 Oct, 23:41 UTC | 10% |
| 14 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 11% |
| 14 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 12% |
| 14 Oct, 14:52 UTC | 11% |
| 14 Oct, 09:30 UTC | 15% |
| 14 Oct, 03:15 UTC | 17% |
| 13 Oct, 22:45 UTC | 15% |
| 13 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 13% |
| 13 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 15% |
| 13 Oct, 16:40 UTC | 16% |
| 13 Oct, 13:41 UTC | 17% |
| 13 Oct, 13:18 UTC | 15% |
| 13 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 12% |
| 13 Oct, 05:48 UTC | 16% |
| 13 Oct, 04:34 UTC | 10% |
| 12 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 17% |
| 12 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 16% |
| 12 Oct, 05:18 UTC | 17% |
| 12 Oct, 04:10 UTC | 18% |
| 12 Oct, 02:46 UTC | 20% |
| 10 Oct, 21:06 UTC | 17% |
| 10 Oct, 15:08 UTC | 11% |
| 8 Oct, 01:22 UTC | 19% |
| 7 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 11% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 21% |
| 6 Oct, 03:42 UTC | 20% |
| 6 Oct, 03:03 UTC | 12% |
| 6 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 21% |
| 3 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 20% |
| 3 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Oct, 04:18 UTC | 11% |
| 2 Oct, 12:01 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Oct, 04:46 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 01:01 UTC | 20% |
| 29 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 11% |
| 27 Sept, 23:16 UTC | 20% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 48% |
| 27 Sept, 05:30 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 11% |
| 26 Sept, 03:23 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Sept, 20:32 UTC | 13% |
| 24 Sept, 17:27 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Sept, 17:11 UTC | 16% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 4 Nov 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 4 November at 03:49 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Raphinha — the market puts it at 10%, with $232 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 13 Jun 2027. Raphinha must lead the Champions League in goals during the 2026-27 tournament for the market to resolve to Yes. The outcome depends solely on his goal tally in that specific competition, not his performance for Barcelona or other tournaments. Readers often mistake the linked headline about him becoming captain as relevant, but leadership status does not count toward resolution.
- Raphinha — the market puts it at 57%, with $13 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 14 Jun 2027. The outcome is Yes if Raphinha finishes the 2026-27 La Liga regular season with the most goals. The outcome is No if he does not lead the league in scoring. Readers often mistake the linked injury news for the resolution criteria, but only his final goal tally matters.
- Barcelona — the market puts it at 21%, with $9k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 19 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Barcelona wins the 2026-27 Champions League. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake this for a bet on any single match or the domestic league title.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Raphinha 10% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Raphinha 57% +17
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Barcelona 21% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Raphinha
- Jesús de Miguel
- Barcelona
- Aston Villa