Ramaswamy Donates $38K to Harassed Red Baron Worker
Ohio gubernatorial candidate Vivek Ramaswamy contributed $38,000 to a GoFundMe campaign for a Michigan employee targeted by an online prank.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 38% |
| 2 Nov, 16:34 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Nov, 15:34 UTC | 35% |
| 1 Nov, 22:32 UTC | 43% |
| 1 Nov, 08:25 UTC | 42% |
| 31 Oct, 22:00 UTC | 47% |
| 30 Oct, 19:53 UTC | 44% |
| 29 Oct, 23:12 UTC | 59% |
| 29 Oct, 12:52 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Oct, 01:38 UTC | 63% |
| 28 Oct, 23:33 UTC | 67% |
| 28 Oct, 18:38 UTC | 61% |
| 28 Oct, 13:57 UTC | 60% |
| 28 Oct, 04:35 UTC | 66% |
| 27 Oct, 12:57 UTC | 54% |
| 27 Oct, 00:45 UTC | 50% |
| 26 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 48% |
| 26 Oct, 22:01 UTC | 49% |
| 26 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 46% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 31 Oct 2026. The Hill News published first, on 31 October at 19:02 UTC; Fortune followed 46h 37m later. The most recent article, from Fortune, appeared on 2 November at 17:39 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill News (major outlet), Fortune.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- At least 46% — the market puts it at 38%, with $212 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Vivek Ramaswamy receives at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election. It resolves to No if he receives less than 46%. Readers often mistake the date of the news story for the deadline, but the resolution depends solely on the final certified vote count.
- Vivek Ramaswamy — the market puts it at 0%, closing 7 Nov 2028. The outcome is Yes if Vivek Ramaswamy wins and accepts the Republican presidential nomination in 2028. The outcome is No if he does not meet this condition. Readers often mistake the deadline for the nomination announcement date rather than the final acceptance of the nomination.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi At least 46% 38% −4
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Vivek Ramaswamy 0%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Vivek Ramaswamy
- Apoorva
- Red Baron Pizza