OPEC+ Set to Keep Oil Quotas Steady in November
Delegates report an agreement in principle to maintain current production levels next month despite Middle East conflicts reducing output.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 3 Oct, 05:10 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 10% |
| 29 Sept, 19:33 UTC | 15% |
| 28 Sept, 18:19 UTC | 10% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 4 Oct 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 4 October at 07:49 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Yes — the market puts it at 14%, with $12 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if any OPEC member state officially announces its departure from the organization before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake news about production quotas or price adjustments for an actual exit announcement.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Markets on this story
- Kalshi Yes 14%
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In this story
- OPEC+