National Theatre Live Brings Golden Boy to Cinemas Starting Nov. 5
The filmed version of Clifford Odets' play, starring Josh O'Connor, will be released in cinemas on November 5 following its sold-out run at London's Almeida Theatre.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 26% |
| 30 Oct, 02:16 UTC | 26% |
| 30 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 19% |
| 29 Oct, 21:34 UTC | 29% |
| 29 Oct, 18:35 UTC | 28% |
| 29 Oct, 18:28 UTC | 29% |
| 29 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 31% |
| 29 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 29% |
| 29 Oct, 13:15 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Oct, 12:03 UTC | 37% |
| 29 Oct, 05:22 UTC | 19% |
| 29 Oct, 01:45 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 20% |
| 28 Oct, 23:54 UTC | 17% |
| 28 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 20% |
| 28 Oct, 20:09 UTC | 17% |
| 28 Oct, 15:47 UTC | 13% |
| 28 Oct, 12:12 UTC | 21% |
| 27 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 14% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 28 Oct 2026. Variety published first, on 28 October at 12:00 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Josh O'Connor — the market puts it at 26%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2030. The outcome is Yes if Josh O'Connor is officially confirmed as the next James Bond before January 1, 2030. The outcome is No if that confirmation does not happen by the deadline. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a theater play for the relevant casting announcement.
- Josh O’Connor — the market puts it at 3%, closing 10 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Josh O'Connor wins the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards. It resolves to No if he does not win that specific award. Readers often mistake other awards or nominations for the required Golden Globe win.
- Josh O'Connor — the market puts it at 6%, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Josh O'Connor receives a nomination for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if he does not receive that specific nomination. Readers often mistake the announcement date of the nominations for the deadline, but the resolution depends solely on whether his name appears on the official nominee list.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Josh O'Connor 26% −11
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Josh O’Connor 3%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Josh O'Connor 6%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Josh O'Connor
- National Theatre Live
- Golden Boy
- Almeida Theatre