Modi Marks 25 Years in Office as Cabinet Hails Achievements
The Indian cabinet adopted a resolution hailing Narendra Modi's 25 years of public service while approving an SME Growth Fund and new logistics authority.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 3 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 53% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 53% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 7 articles since 6 Oct 2026. Times of India published first, on 6 October at 11:33 UTC; Deutsche Welle followed 17h 30m later. The most recent article, from Times of India, appeared on 7 October at 10:36 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Times of India, Deutsche Welle.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Narendra Modi — the market puts it at 53%, with $88 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 30 Apr 2030. The outcome is Yes if Narendra Modi becomes Prime Minister after the next Indian general election and satisfies all constitutional requirements before April 30, 2030. The outcome is No if he does not meet these conditions within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the deadline for the date of the election rather than the final date by which he must assume office.
- Narendra Modi — the market puts it at 2%, closing 2 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Narendra Modi officially announces his intention to leave office or actually leaves as Prime Minister of India before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a chipmaking investment for an announcement regarding his departure.
- By 2030 — the market puts it at 62%, with $4 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2031. The market resolves to Yes if India cuts the carbon emissions per unit of its GDP by at least 45% compared to 2005 levels by the year 2030. It resolves to No if that specific reduction target is not met within the deadline. Readers often mistake this for a total emissions cap rather than an intensity metric relative to economic output.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Narendra Modi at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Times of IndiaFrom SME fund to hailing PM’s 25 years as govt head: Cabinet decisions & resolutions—
- Times of IndiaCabinet adopts resolution hailing achievements of PM Modi—
- Times of IndiaFrom Gujarat CM to India's PM: Modi's 25 years in office—
- Times of IndiaPM Modi offers prayers at Delhi temple as he completes 25 years in public office53%
- Deutsche WelleIndia news: Opposition protest clouds Modi's 25-year milestone53%
- Times of India‘We will do it’: PM Modi gives new slogan for Viksit Bharat, self-reliant India by 204753%
- Times of India'Truly historic': Leaders hail PM Modi as he completes 25 years in government53%
- Current odds53%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- 'Truly historic': Leaders hail PM Modi as he completes 25 years in government Times of India
- ‘We will do it’: PM Modi gives new slogan for Viksit Bharat, self-reliant India by 2047 Times of India
- India news: Opposition protest clouds Modi's 25-year milestone Deutsche Welle
- PM Modi offers prayers at Delhi temple as he completes 25 years in public office Times of India
- From Gujarat CM to India's PM: Modi's 25 years in office Times of India
- Cabinet adopts resolution hailing achievements of PM Modi Times of India
- From SME fund to hailing PM’s 25 years as govt head: Cabinet decisions & resolutions Times of India
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Narendra Modi 53% +3
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Narendra Modi 2%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi By 2030 62%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Narendra Modi
- Election Commission of India
- Delhi police
- BJP