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Modi Marks 25 Years in Office as Cabinet Hails Achievements

The Indian cabinet adopted a resolution hailing Narendra Modi's 25 years of public service while approving an SME Growth Fund and new logistics authority.

2 publishers · 7 articles · first seen 6 Oct 2026 · updated 36m ago

The odds

How the odds moved · Narendra Modi
0%50%100%53%7 Oct, 00:35 UTCnowTimes of India: 'Truly historic': Leaders hail PM Modi as he completes 25 years in government · 7 Oct, 10:36 UTCTimes of India: ‘We will do it’: PM Modi gives new slogan for Viksit Bharat, self-reliant India by 2047 · 7 Oct, 05:49 UTCDeutsche Welle: India news: Opposition protest clouds Modi's 25-year milestone · 7 Oct, 05:03 UTCTimes of India: PM Modi offers prayers at Delhi temple as he completes 25 years in public office · 7 Oct, 03:27 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 3 more published before price tracking began

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now53%
7 Oct, 00:35 UTC53%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 7 articles since 6 Oct 2026. Times of India published first, on 6 October at 11:33 UTC; Deutsche Welle followed 17h 30m later. The most recent article, from Times of India, appeared on 7 October at 10:36 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Times of India, Deutsche Welle.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Narendra Modi — the market puts it at 53%, with $88 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 30 Apr 2030. The outcome is Yes if Narendra Modi becomes Prime Minister after the next Indian general election and satisfies all constitutional requirements before April 30, 2030. The outcome is No if he does not meet these conditions within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the deadline for the date of the election rather than the final date by which he must assume office.
  • Narendra Modi — the market puts it at 2%, closing 2 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Narendra Modi officially announces his intention to leave office or actually leaves as Prime Minister of India before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a chipmaking investment for an announcement regarding his departure.
  • By 2030 — the market puts it at 62%, with $4 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2031. The market resolves to Yes if India cuts the carbon emissions per unit of its GDP by at least 45% compared to 2005 levels by the year 2030. It resolves to No if that specific reduction target is not met within the deadline. Readers often mistake this for a total emissions cap rather than an intensity metric relative to economic output.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. 'Truly historic': Leaders hail PM Modi as he completes 25 years in government Times of India
  2. ‘We will do it’: PM Modi gives new slogan for Viksit Bharat, self-reliant India by 2047 Times of India
  3. India news: Opposition protest clouds Modi's 25-year milestone Deutsche Welle
  4. PM Modi offers prayers at Delhi temple as he completes 25 years in public office Times of India
  5. From Gujarat CM to India's PM: Modi's 25 years in office Times of India
  6. Cabinet adopts resolution hailing achievements of PM Modi Times of India
  7. From SME fund to hailing PM’s 25 years as govt head: Cabinet decisions & resolutions Times of India

Markets on this story

  • Kalshi Narendra Modi 53% +3 $88 24hends 30 Apr 2030

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  • Kalshi Narendra Modi 2% $0 24hends 2 Jan 2027

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    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi By 2030 62% $4 24hends 31 Dec 2031

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    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Narendra Modi
  • Election Commission of India
  • Delhi police
  • BJP
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