Missouri, California Voters Decide on Abortion Bans and Billionaire Taxes
Ballot measures in Missouri and California will allow voters to decide on abortion restrictions and a new tax on billionaires.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 36% |
| 30 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 36% |
| 28 Oct, 08:51 UTC | 25% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 29 Oct 2026. NPR Politics published first, on 29 October at 09:00 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Amendment 7 — the market puts it at 36%, with $43 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 2 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if Amendment 7 passes in Missouri and No otherwise. Readers often mistake the linked news story for the resolution criteria instead of the official election results.
- Missouri Amendment 3 — the market puts it at 49%, with $66 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Missouri Amendment 3 passes. The amendment must successfully repeal abortion protections and prohibit gender transitions for minors. Readers often mistake the linked news story about defending healthcare as the resolution criteria, but only the official election result matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Related prediction markets
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- Kalshi Amendment 7 36% +11
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- Kalshi Missouri Amendment 3 49%
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In this story
- Missouri
- California