Mexico Cuts Interest Rate to Four-Year Low of 6.25%

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 5 Nov 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 5 November at 19:00 UTC.

2 prediction markets price this story:

• Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%? — the market puts it at 20%, with $109 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 9 Jan 2027. The Yes outcome occurs if Mexico’s annual inflation rate for December 2026 falls between 3.00% and 3.49%. The No outcome applies if that specific rate is outside that range. Readers often mistake the linked interest rate cut for the resolution data, but only the INEGI Consumer Price Index report released in January 2027 counts.
• Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? — resolved “No” on 5 Nov 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if the Bank of Mexico raises its target overnight interest rate by exactly 25 basis points during its November 2026 meeting. The No outcome applies if the bank cuts rates, keeps them unchanged, or changes them by any other amount. Readers often mistake this market for resolving based on recent news headlines rather than the official announcement from the specific November 2026 meeting.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.