Meta Raises $35bn for AI With Nvidia, AMD, Broadcom Buying Shares
The tech giant plans to raise up to $95 billion through stock deals with chipmakers Nvidia, AMD and Broadcom.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by MarketWatch, 26 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 12% |
| 26 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 12% |
| 25 Oct, 10:06 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 13% |
| 22 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 12% |
| 20 Oct, 14:40 UTC | 8% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 9% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Nvidia respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 26 Oct 2026. MarketWatch published first, on 26 October at 12:08 UTC; Quartz followed 27 min later. The most recent article, from theinformation.com, appeared on 26 October at 13:13 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: MarketWatch, Quartz, theinformation.com.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Nvidia — the market puts it at 12%, with $152 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if any part of the U.S. federal government takes a stake in Nvidia before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about stock performance rather than government ownership.
- Meta — the market puts it at 11%, with $28 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Meta launches an AI model that ranks number one in app stores before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if this does not happen by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a specific agent for the final resolution, but only the official ranking status and deadline matter.
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? — the market puts it at 2%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2026. The market resolves by checking the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET to see which company owns the model with the highest rank. If ranks are tied, the system uses the precise arena score and then alphabetical order of company names as tiebreakers.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Nvidia at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Nvidia 12% +4
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Meta 11% +2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? 2%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls