Messi bids farewell to Argentina as Ronaldo faces acrimony in Portugal exit Hot: Odds moved 31 points in 24 hours

The story so far

3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 5 Oct 2026. Latest articles published first, on 5 October at 00:15 UTC; SkySports followed 8h 52m later. The most recent article, from France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines, appeared on 5 October at 09:51 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Latest articles, SkySports, France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Lionel Messi — the market puts it at 3%, with $280 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 10 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Lionel Messi finishes in the top three of the official 2026 men's Ballon d'Or ranking. It resolves to No if he does not reach that position. Readers often mistake the deadline for the award ceremony date instead of the final publication of the official rankings.
• Lionel Messi — the market puts it at 99%, closing 10 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Lionel Messi finishes in the top 10 of the official 2026 Ballon d'Or rankings. It resolves to No if he does not reach that threshold. Readers often mistake the purchase of a football club for an achievement that counts toward this specific award ranking.
• Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — the market puts it at 3%, with $50k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves based on who wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or as announced by France Football. For 'Yes,' Lionel Messi must be declared the winner; for 'No,' he must not win. Readers often mistake the deadline, which is December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or assume other sources of information are valid.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.